PnL all-time−$329vol $36.2k
PnL 30d−$3.05gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.06win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.5%adj 72.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$308cash n/a
Positions5 / 179open / all-time
Max drawdown−89.8%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$384below peak −$733Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.5% · shrunk toward 50%82
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity10
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yesclosed+$135Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) · Noclosed+$96Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Upclosed+$77Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2? · Yesclosed+$62Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31? · Noclosed+$55
Worst markets
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? · Noclosed−$592Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026? · Yesclosed−$228Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? · Noclosed−$220GPT ads by March 31? · Noclosed−$70Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15? · Yesclosed−$62
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31? | No | 100 | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | No | 100 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31? | No | 100 | 75¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 57¢ | 7.5¢ | $7.50 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 50¢ | 3.3¢ | $0.33 | −$4.67 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s