PnL all-time+$310kvol $29.2M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.0%adj 46.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions2 / 85open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.8%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 10mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$310kbelow peak −$91.8kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 45.0% · shrunk toward 50%15
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$273kWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Yesclosed+$106kNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$95.0kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Noclosed+$87.8kWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$52.5k
Worst markets
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$59.8kMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Noclosed−$40.1kFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$30.6kWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Noclosed−$30.6kWill Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yesopen−$29.3k
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 175k | 16.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29.3k | $0 | |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 48.4k | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,387 | −$580 |
Recent trades
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