sharpside
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Traders/Rank #600

slight-

0x090…01b4
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$335kvol $48.2M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate54.4%adj 54.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$27cash n/a
Positions124 / 722open / all-time
Max drawdown−73.2%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 7mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$335kbelow peak −$914kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 54.4% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity27

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes5410.6¢50¢$27+$21+$15.8k
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 51.5Over30.3k48¢0¢$0−$14.5k$0
Blues vs. SabresSabres30.1k57¢0¢$0−$17.1k$0
Red Wings vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks30.0k36¢0¢$0−$10.8k$0
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 56.5Under30.0k50¢0¢$0−$15.0k$0
Bruins vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs30.0k63¢0¢$0−$18.9k$0
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville StateDelaware Blue Hens30.0k58¢0¢$0−$17.4k$0
Spread: Wyoming (-6.5)Wyoming30.0k50¢0¢$0−$15.0k$0
Panthers vs. KingsKings30.0k51¢0¢$0−$15.3k$0
Stars vs. CanadiensCanadiens30.0k53¢0¢$0−$15.9k$0
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes30.0k13¢0¢$0−$3,900$0
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)Washington30.0k54¢0¢$0−$16.2k$0
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)Northern Illinois30.0k49¢0¢$0−$14.7k$0
Giants vs. EaglesGiants28.7k23¢0¢$0−$6,608$0
Penguins vs. DevilsPenguins27.9k36¢0¢$0−$10.0k$0
Boise State vs. Utah StateUtah State27.4k46¢0¢$0−$12.6k$0
Seahawks vs. RamsSeahawks26.9k38¢0¢$0−$10.2k$0
Kraken vs. PenguinsPenguins26.6k53.7¢0¢$0−$14.3k$0
Spread: Akron (-10.5)UMass26.6k47¢0¢$0−$12.5k$0
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Yes26.5k33¢0¢$0−$8,738$0
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No26.4k26.2¢0¢$0−$6,913$0
Red Wings vs. KrakenKraken26.0k48¢0¢$0−$12.5k$0
Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5Over25.7k46¢0¢$0−$11.8k$0
Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas State: O/U 60.5Over25.0k48¢0¢$0−$12.0k$0
Panthers vs. StarsStars25.0k56¢0¢$0−$14.0k$0
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?Yes25.0k55¢0¢$0−$13.8k$0
49ers vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5Under24.3k46¢0¢$0−$11.2k$0
Spurs vs. LakersSpurs24.3k44.7¢0¢$0−$10.9k$0
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)Falcons24.0k50¢0¢$0−$12.0k$0
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)Purdue Boilermakers23.7k51¢0¢$0−$12.1k$0
Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5Over22.7k51¢0¢$0−$11.6k$0
O/U 42.5Under22.4k50¢0¢$0−$11.2k$0
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)Missouri22.0k55¢0¢$0−$12.1k$0
Jacksonville State vs. UTEPUTEP21.8k50.5¢0¢$0−$11.0k$0
Georgia vs. AuburnAuburn21.5k36¢0¢$0−$7,757$0
Wizards vs. BucksWizards21.2k20¢0¢$0−$4,238$0
Hawks vs. MagicMagic20.0k67¢0¢$0−$13.4k$0
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Under20.0k48¢0¢$0−$9,600$0
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 47.5Over19.9k49¢0¢$0−$9,766$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes19.8k6.5¢0¢$0−$1,288+$78.4k
O/U 45.5Over19.8k47.6¢0¢$0−$9,419$0
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Yes19.2k9.3¢0¢$0−$1,793−$1,516
Texas vs. Ohio StateTexas18.0k50¢0¢$0−$8,979$0
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)paiN15.6k49¢0¢$0−$7,622$0
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5Over14.5k50¢0¢$0−$7,269$0
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No14.2k54.9¢0¢$0−$7,805$0
Spread: Penn State (-7.5)Michigan State13.9k53¢0¢$0−$7,382$0
Iowa vs. Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin Badgers13.2k40¢0¢$0−$5,283$0
Appalachian State vs. Georgia StateGeorgia State12.9k43¢0¢$0−$5,547$0
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Yes12.8k7.9¢0¢$0−$1,012$0
Arizona vs. ColoradoColorado12.1k37.6¢0¢$0−$4,561$0
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes11.8k4.2¢0¢$0−$500−$541
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?Yes11.2k1.5¢0¢$0−$167$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes11.1k6.2¢0¢$0−$696$0
Spread: Buffalo (-16.5)Buffalo10.6k52¢0¢$0−$5,503$0
Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 239.5Over10.3k47.6¢0¢$0−$4,891$0
Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaGeorgia10.1k47¢0¢$0−$4,742$0
Rangers vs. MarinersRangers10,00040¢0¢$0−$4,000$0
Bills vs. JaguarsJaguars9,42048¢0¢$0−$4,522$0
Arkansas vs. TexasArkansas9,37524¢0¢$0−$2,253$0
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes9,36010.4¢0¢$0−$970$0
Northern Illinois vs. UMass: O/U 43.5Under8,25853¢0¢$0−$4,377$0
Hawks vs. WizardsHawks8,14618.4¢0¢$0−$1,499$0
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes8,04420.7¢0¢$0−$1,663+$1,463
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No7,48813.2¢0¢$0−$985$0
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?Yes7,48617.5¢0¢$0−$1,314$0
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No6,97633.3¢0¢$0−$2,323$0
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes6,90244.7¢0¢$0−$3,082$0
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?No6,81125.2¢0¢$0−$1,717$0
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3)Team Falcons6,59362¢0¢$0−$4,087$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Yes6,1409.9¢0¢$0−$605−$3,113
San Diego State vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 42.5Under6,13450.7¢0¢$0−$3,111$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes6,06611.5¢0¢$0−$700+$382
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes5,23914.3¢0¢$0−$748$0
Spread: Georgia Tech (-17.5)Syracuse5,19952¢0¢$0−$2,704$0
Alabama vs. OklahomaOklahoma4,96651¢0¢$0−$2,533$0
Temple vs. TulsaTulsa4,89635¢0¢$0−$1,714$0
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?Yes4,67814¢0¢$0−$655$0
Eagles vs. BillsBills4,55222.5¢0¢$0−$1,024$0
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No4,44457¢0¢$0−$2,533$0
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes4,18134¢0¢$0−$1,422$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes4,13422¢0¢$0−$910$0
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No4,09417.6¢0¢$0−$721$0
Arkansas vs. TennesseeArkansas3,76121¢0¢$0−$790$0
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Yes3,75712.4¢0¢$0−$465$0
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes3,5860.7¢0¢$0−$25$0
Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes3,55317¢0¢$0−$604$0
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No3,3293¢0¢$0−$100+$4,152
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes3,10348.8¢0¢$0−$1,515$0
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?Yes2,8422.4¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes2,31811.5¢0¢$0−$266$0
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes2,00065¢0¢$0−$1,300$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No1,9822¢0¢$0−$40$0
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No1,96446¢0¢$0−$903$0
Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)Missouri1,93653¢0¢$0−$1,026$0
Pakistan strike on India by Friday?Yes1,8054¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?No1,67110.8¢0¢$0−$181$0
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Yes1,52930.9¢0¢$0−$473$0
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?Yes1,4134.9¢0¢$0−$70$0
North Carolina vs. Wake ForestNorth Carolina1,41035.3¢0¢$0−$498$0

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?88¢66$5854%45
SELL NoBig Game: Octopus?97.4¢100$9754%45
SELL YesWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?0.3¢29.9k$9054%45
SELL NoWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?37¢300$11154%45
SELL YesAnother US strike on Venezuela by March 31?3¢3,623$11054%45
SELL YesWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?61.3¢226$13854%45
SELL YesWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?78.7¢226$17854%45
SELL YesUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?5.1¢2,490$12754%45
SELL NoSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? 56.4¢398$22554%45
SELL YesWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?6.4¢3,672$23654%45
SELL NoStarmer out by June 30, 2026?57¢624$35654%45
SELL YesUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?99.8¢1,334$1,33254%45
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?35.6¢3,667$1,30454%45
SELL YesUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?4.5¢6,145$27854%45
SELL YesWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?14.2¢3,577$50954%45
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?58.2¢1,250$72854%45
SELL YesAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?10.3¢3,679$37954%45
SELL YesWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?0.1¢365k$37354%45
SELL YesWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?61.9¢2,319$1,43554%45
SELL NoGovernment shutdown on Saturday?34.8¢4,050$1,41054%45