sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,561

VictorLudorum

0x090…0fa6
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$120kvol $9.43M
PnL 30d−$29.1kgains $36.0k · losses $21.1k
PnL 7d+$47.2kwin rate 7d 31.0%
Win rate31.0%adj 31.7% · 30d 31.0%
Open value$77cash n/a
Positions438 / 16,927open / all-time
Max drawdown−38.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$236kbelow peak −$117kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 31.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes1020¢89.5¢$8.95+$6.95$0
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes7,2704.2¢0.1¢$3.63−$299−$43
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes6,0312.8¢0.1¢$3.02−$165$0
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes6,0312.8¢0.1¢$3.02−$165$0
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes5,9812.8¢0.1¢$2.99−$163$0
Will Málaga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes2,5854.2¢0.1¢$1.29−$106$0
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes2,5854.2¢0.1¢$1.29−$106$0
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5432.5¢0.1¢$1.27−$62$0
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5122.5¢0.1¢$1.26−$62$0
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5012.5¢0.1¢$1.25−$61$0
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5012.5¢0.1¢$1.25−$61$0
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5012.5¢0.1¢$1.25−$61$0
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5012.5¢0.1¢$1.25−$61$0
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5012.5¢0.1¢$1.25−$61$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,9671.1¢0.1¢$0.98−$21−$1.02
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,9671.1¢0.1¢$0.98−$21−$1.02
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,9671.1¢0.1¢$0.98−$21−$1.00
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,9671.1¢0.1¢$0.98−$21−$1.02
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,9671.1¢0.1¢$0.98−$21−$1.02
Will Chase Meidroth win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Yes202.4¢4.5¢$0.90+$0.42$0
Will Tanner Bibee win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Yes202.4¢4.5¢$0.90+$0.42$0
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Yes202.4¢4.5¢$0.90+$0.42$0
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7863.1¢0.1¢$0.89−$55$0
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7693.1¢0.1¢$0.88−$54−$0.52
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7443.1¢0.1¢$0.87−$54$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7143.1¢0.1¢$0.86−$53$0
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes1,6043.3¢0.1¢$0.80−$53−$3.88
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,5513.1¢0.1¢$0.78−$48−$6.61
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,5513.1¢0.1¢$0.78−$48$0
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1,5281.4¢0.1¢$0.76−$20−$7.33
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,5143.1¢0.1¢$0.76−$47−$8.25
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,4023.1¢0.1¢$0.70−$43−$12
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,3351.1¢0.1¢$0.67−$14−$1.21
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,2571.1¢0.1¢$0.63−$13−$1.02
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,2281.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$21$0
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,2281.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$21$0
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,2281.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$21$0
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,2281.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$21$0
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,2281.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$21$0
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,2281.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$21$0
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,2281.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$21$0
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,2281.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$21$0
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1,2162.5¢0.1¢$0.61−$30$0
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,0911.7¢0.1¢$0.55−$18−$2.05
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,03920¢0.1¢$0.52−$207−$19
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1,0021.4¢0.1¢$0.50−$13−$19
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1,0021.4¢0.1¢$0.50−$13−$19
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1,0021.4¢0.1¢$0.50−$13−$19
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1,0021.4¢0.1¢$0.50−$13−$19
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes9843.1¢0.1¢$0.49−$30−$1.34
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes9662.5¢0.1¢$0.48−$24$0
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes95820¢0.1¢$0.48−$191−$45
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes9403.1¢0.1¢$0.47−$29−$26
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes8581.1¢0.1¢$0.43−$9.20−$0.20
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes7641.8¢0.1¢$0.38−$13$0
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes7401.8¢0.1¢$0.37−$13$0
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes7221.8¢0.1¢$0.36−$12−$0.46
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes7162.5¢0.1¢$0.36−$18$0
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6801.8¢0.1¢$0.34−$12−$2.10
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes4431.5¢0.1¢$0.22−$6.65−$0.70
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes4431.5¢0.1¢$0.22−$6.65−$0.70
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes4433.7¢0.1¢$0.22−$16−$5.72
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes3902.8¢0.1¢$0.19−$11$0
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes3902.8¢0.1¢$0.19−$11$0
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes3902.8¢0.1¢$0.19−$11$0
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes3902.8¢0.1¢$0.19−$11$0
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes3902.8¢0.1¢$0.19−$11$0
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes3902.8¢0.1¢$0.19−$11$0
Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes3584.5¢0.1¢$0.18−$16$0
Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes3584.5¢0.1¢$0.18−$16$0
Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes3574.5¢0.1¢$0.18−$16$0
Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes3574.5¢0.1¢$0.18−$16$0
Will MVK Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes3365¢0.1¢$0.17−$17$0
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes3313.3¢0.1¢$0.17−$11$0
Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes3284.5¢0.1¢$0.16−$15$0
Will Kelsey Mitchell win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Yes651.8¢0.3¢$0.16−$1.01$0
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes192.2¢0.8¢$0.15−$0.26$0
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3013.1¢0.1¢$0.15−$9.26−$4.10
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3013.1¢0.1¢$0.15−$9.26−$19
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3011.8¢0.1¢$0.15−$5.12−$6.77
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes2751.7¢0.1¢$0.14−$4.61−$14
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2757.7¢0.1¢$0.14−$21$0
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2757.7¢0.1¢$0.14−$21$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes43.8¢3.4¢$0.13−$0.02$0
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes2594.3¢0.1¢$0.13−$11−$3.42
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes2594.3¢0.1¢$0.13−$11−$3.42
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes2594.3¢0.1¢$0.13−$11−$2.34
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2507.7¢0.1¢$0.13−$19$0
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2507.7¢0.1¢$0.13−$19$0
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes2482.8¢0.1¢$0.12−$6.77−$3.85
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes24520¢0.1¢$0.12−$49$0
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes23520¢0.1¢$0.12−$47−$1.99
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes22220¢0.1¢$0.11−$44$0
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2001.8¢0.1¢$0.10−$3.41+$0.22
Will Brest win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes1914.5¢0.1¢$0.10−$8.57−$7.44
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes1702.8¢0.1¢$0.09−$4.64−$1.20
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes1503.6¢0.1¢$0.07−$5.28$0
Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes1467.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$11−$3.48
Will Andrew Painter win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes1252.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$2.66$0
Will Robby Snelling win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes1252.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$2.66$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?98.8¢29$2931%56
BUY NoWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?98.5¢29$2931%56
BUY NoWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?91¢29$2731%56
BUY NoWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?77¢29$2331%56
BUY NoWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?99.5¢50$5031%56
BUY NoWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?99.9¢50$5031%56
BUY NoWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?99.8¢50$5031%56
BUY NoWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?97.7¢50$4931%56
BUY NoWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?19¢50$9.5031%56
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?72¢5$3.8431%56
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?99.7¢61$6131%56
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?99¢61$6031%56
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?97.2¢61$5931%56
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?25¢61$1531%56
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?99.7¢22$2231%56
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?99¢22$2231%56
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?97.2¢22$2131%56
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?25¢22$5.4431%56
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?99.7¢4$4.3431%56
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?99¢4$4.3131%56