sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,578

WageringGrandma

0x096…bf95
SportPoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$47vol $76.0k
PnL 30d+$781gains $892 · losses $214
PnL 7d+$310win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.2%adj 46.8% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$5,667cash n/a
Positions29 / 135open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$925below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 46.2% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$448Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Noclosed+$435US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$391US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Noopen+$245US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · Noclosed+$240

Worst markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$320Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$268US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$266US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$212France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Franceclosed−$204

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No78157.6¢89¢$695+$245$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No1,08945.9¢55.8¢$608+$108$0
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No48851.2¢92.2¢$450+$200$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No84847.2¢45.5¢$386−$14$0
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Yes39164¢86.5¢$338+$88$0
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes56553.1¢58.5¢$331+$31$0
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No32183¢98¢$314+$48$0
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?No41759.9¢74.2¢$309+$59$0
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes37153.9¢66.5¢$247+$47$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No41061¢59.5¢$244−$6.15$0
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?No30681.7¢78¢$239−$11$0
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?No85729.2¢25.5¢$219−$31$0
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?No28670¢71.5¢$204+$4.29$0
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No40249.7¢50.5¢$203+$3.21$0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?No25658.6¢65.5¢$168+$18$0
Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?No18853.2¢81.2¢$152+$52$0
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?No31947¢43.5¢$139−$11$0
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?No39038.4¢31.5¢$123−$27−$6.38
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes32231.1¢28.5¢$92−$8.36$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No8976¢95.5¢$85+$17$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo13552¢38.5¢$52−$18$0
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?No7566.9¢66.5¢$50−$0.32$0
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Yes2871¢74.5¢$21+$0.98$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes7938¢0¢$0−$30−$1.30
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes7427¢0¢$0−$20−$0.44
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor7427¢0¢$0−$20−$0.73
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes7427¢0¢$0−$20−$0.44
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes6316¢0¢$0−$10−$0.25
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes4224¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.23

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoAnother Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?66.9¢75$5046%32
BUY YesAlofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?71¢28$2046%32
SELL NoWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?35.4¢130$4646%32
BUY NoSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?47¢319$15046%32
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?58.6¢256$15046%32
SELL NoWill the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?29¢397$11546%32
BUY YesWill the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?64¢391$25046%32
SELL NoWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?33¢462$15346%32
SELL NoWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?34¢305$10446%32
BUY NoWill Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?49.7¢402$20046%32
BUY NoWill The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?53.2¢188$10046%32
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?38.4¢521$20046%32
BUY NoWill Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?81.7¢306$25046%32
BUY YesWill the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?31.1¢322$10046%32
BUY NoWill the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?63¢397$25046%32
BUY NoWill Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?59.9¢417$25046%32
BUY NoAlofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?29.2¢857$25046%32
BUY NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?70¢286$20046%32
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?47.2¢848$40046%32
BUY NoWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?61¢410$25046%32