PnL all-time+$2,171vol $302k
PnL 30d+$5,458gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3,833win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 61.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$147kcash n/a
Positions9 / 15open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 20d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$17.5kbelow peak −$5,231Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable39
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d31
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen+$14.2kWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · Noclosed+$1,227Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Noopen+$917Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Noclosed+$284Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? · Yesopen+$259
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 145k | 80.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $131k | +$14.2k | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 9,653 | 81¢ | 90.5¢ | $8,736 | +$917 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? | Yes | 4,320 | 89.8¢ | 95.8¢ | $4,139 | +$259 | $0 | |
| Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1,097 | 78¢ | 100¢ | $1,097 | +$242 | −$7.54 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 26.3k | 3.5¢ | 2.9¢ | $750 | −$182 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 699 | 91¢ | 93.3¢ | $652 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 355 | 90¢ | 93.6¢ | $332 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 435 | 37.1¢ | 34¢ | $148 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? | Yes | 40 | 96.2¢ | 95.3¢ | $38 | −$0.36 | $0 |
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