sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,826

notawinner99

0x097…3137
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,821vol $339k
PnL 30d+$292gains $258 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$327win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate80.8%adj 79.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,310cash n/a
Positions6 / 463open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

85/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 80.8% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 6

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1,90850¢79.1¢$1,508+$554$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,90850¢21¢$400−$554$0
Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio WardleyDaniel Dubois17176¢100¢$171+$41$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No20071¢73.5¢$147+$5.00$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No10067¢67.5¢$68+$0.50$0
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes21140.8¢7.8¢$16−$70$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by December 31?67¢100$6781%85Sharp
BUY YesKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?27¢155$4281%85Sharp
BUY Daniel DuboisDaniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley76¢171$13081%85Sharp
BUY YesKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?26¢199$5281%85Sharp
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?74¢2,820$2,08781%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?99.6¢479$47781%85Sharp
SELL YesIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?2.5¢255$6.2881%85Sharp
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?99.8¢87$8781%85Sharp
BUY NoWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?99¢513$50781%85Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?10.1¢1,019$10381%85Sharp
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?99.8¢301$30081%85Sharp
SELL NoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?21¢106$2281%85Sharp
SELL NoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?61.2¢800$49081%85Sharp
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?39.8¢2,820$1,12481%85Sharp
BUY YesGrok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026?83.8¢123$10381%85Sharp
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?93¢27$2581%85Sharp
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?99.9¢801$80081%85Sharp
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?99.5¢503$50081%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?99.9¢2,282$2,28081%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?99.3¢3,000$2,97981%85Sharp