sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

nnimrodd

0x09b…f8b1
1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$36.5kvol $3.06M
PnL 30d+$2,826gains $4,046 · losses $2,218
PnL 7d−$1,568win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate45.4%adj 45.6% · 30d 58.3%
Open value$29.6kcash n/a
Positions32 / 522open / all-time
Max drawdown−66.6%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$30.7kbelow peak −$10.5kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.4% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity33

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 32

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No11.7k57.1¢64.5¢$7,563+$868+$127
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No14.5k55.3¢47.5¢$6,884−$1,124−$72
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No8,11743.7¢44.5¢$3,612+$62$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No4,17350.8¢63.5¢$2,650+$531−$54
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No6,87432.9¢38.5¢$2,647+$386$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No1,81855¢61.5¢$1,118+$118$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No3,47024.5¢26.3¢$913+$63$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No2,48532.2¢28.5¢$708−$92$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1,06649.8¢57.5¢$613+$82$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No72062.5¢70.5¢$507+$57$0
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2,33321.4¢15.6¢$364−$136$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes40062.5¢86.5¢$346+$96$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes49255.5¢68.5¢$337+$64+$27
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes68249¢37.5¢$256−$78−$160
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,25415.9¢15.1¢$189−$11+$290
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No27056¢54.5¢$147−$4.05$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No61623¢22.5¢$139−$3.08$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,1672.4¢3¢$125+$25−$24
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No77814.4¢14.5¢$113+$0.56$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No1,1079¢9.5¢$105+$5.21$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No16760¢48.5¢$81−$19$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes19139¢38.5¢$74−$0.96$0
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?No8395.9¢6¢$50+$0.35$0
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5555¢64.5¢$35+$5.18−$8.54
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No2789¢7.5¢$21−$4.17$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes5569¢3.3¢$18−$32$0
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes3,25168.7¢0¢$0−$2,234+$102
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes2,43863.6¢0¢$0−$1,550−$60
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes1,4476.9¢0¢$0−$100−$3.68
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No1,1828.5¢0¢$0−$100−$7.64
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?No6495.6¢0¢$0−$37−$1.73
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No6438.9¢0¢$0−$25−$1.61

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?38¢1,129$42945%33
SELL NoWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?64¢700$44845%33
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?56¢270$15145%33
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?38.8¢515$20045%33
SELL YesWill Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?95.2¢378$36045%33
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?39¢191$7545%33
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?27.7¢1,082$30045%33
SELL NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?48.8¢800$39045%33
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?33¢853$28145%33
BUY NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?55¢182$10045%33
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?9.1¢552$5045%33
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?27.5¢1,089$30045%33
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?61¢1,252$76445%33
BUY NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?47.8¢227$10945%33
BUY YesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.8¢464$5045%33
SELL YesWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15.3¢1,094$16745%33
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?24.9¢378$9445%33
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?38¢1,316$50045%33
SELL YesWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?56.6¢1,094$61945%33
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?60¢395$23745%33