PnL all-time+$30.1kvol $268k
PnL 30d−$5,561gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$6,733win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 60.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$14.5kcash n/a
Positions6 / 16open / all-time
Max drawdown−42.3%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 9d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$25.0kbelow peak −$18.4kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable40
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d68
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yesclosed+$30.4kWill Trump visit China by March 31? · Noclosed+$9,579Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yesclosed+$4,568Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,175Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,218
Worst markets
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$6,174Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yesopen−$5,557Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$5,253Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 · Overopen−$3,574Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026? · Yesopen−$3,254
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 57.0k | 35.3¢ | 25.5¢ | $14.5k | −$5,557 | $0 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 47.8k | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,116 | −$137 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14.3k | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,000 | −$174 | |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | Over | 6,000 | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,532 | −$42 | |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 5,556 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | −$25 | |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | Yes | 5,005 | 65¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,251 | −$2.62 |
Recent trades
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