PnL all-time+$2,243vol $26.5k
PnL 30d+$584gains $976 · losses $355
PnL 7d+$41win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate77.1%adj 69.1% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$2,806cash n/a
Positions5 / 53open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.4%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 19h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,333below peak −$82Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 77.1% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$624Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$472Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$182Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · Yesclosed+$174Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · Noclosed+$159
Worst markets
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$200Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31? · Noclosed−$200Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Noclosed−$150Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$63Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? · Noopen−$55
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? | No | 882 | 85.5¢ | 96.9¢ | $854 | +$100 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | No | 789 | 83.7¢ | 85.5¢ | $675 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | No | 515 | 97¢ | 96.5¢ | $497 | −$2.87 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 447 | 89.5¢ | 97.4¢ | $436 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | No | 507 | 79¢ | 68¢ | $345 | −$55 | $0 |
Recent trades
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