PnL all-time+$469kvol $22.5M
PnL 30d+$10.6kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$21.1kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate21.2%adj 25.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$174kcash n/a
Positions7 / 111open / all-time
Max drawdown−66.9%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$395kbelow peak −$640kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale81
Adjusted win rateraw 21.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity33
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1.06M | 23.5¢ | 16.5¢ | $174k | −$73.9k | −$29.3k | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 789k | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$152k | −$77.3k | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | Yes | 551k | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52.1k | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 200k | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.6k | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 138k | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.6k | −$22.2k | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 18.2k | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$363 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 3,954 | 10.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$413 | −$226k |
Recent trades
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