sharpside
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0x0a8…d6ae

0x0a8…d6ae
PoliticsOtherCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,567vol $181k
PnL 30d−$689gains $5,395 · losses $6,739
PnL 7d−$181win rate 7d 44.4%
Win rate37.3%adj 38.3% · 30d 42.7%
Open value$83cash n/a
Positions31 / 274open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,040below peak −$3,156Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 37.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes45516.8¢11.5¢$52−$24+$23
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes3743.8¢43.5¢$16−$0.12−$13
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?No4552¢31.5¢$14−$9.31−$6.88
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16?No3330.3¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes2687.5¢0¢$0−$20−$0.56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17?No2631.9¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.34
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes24220.7¢0¢$0−$50−$1.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 15?Yes2290.9¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17?No2040.5¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16?No1393.6¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12?No1390.7¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17?No1110.9¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?No1074.7¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17?No1044.8¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.33
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes9731¢0¢$0−$30−$0.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 15?Yes841.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17?Yes791.3¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes7114¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.26
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes6520¢0¢$0−$13−$0.31
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes638¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16?Yes591.7¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17?Yes531.9¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?Up5010¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.32
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes4224¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.23
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Yes4224¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12?No254¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 17?Yes1243¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17?Yes1146¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 15?No813¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12?No715¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?Yes424¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?43¢402$17337%28
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?43¢439$18937%28
SELL NoWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?67¢6$4.2337%28
BUY NoWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?69.8¢396$27637%28
SELL YesWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?31¢0$037%28
SELL YesWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?31¢36$1137%28
BUY YesWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?33¢425$14037%28
SELL YesWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?18¢133$2437%28
BUY YesWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?18.6¢522$9737%28
SELL YesWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?23.2¢97$2237%28
BUY YesWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?24.8¢486$12037%28
SELL NoWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?24¢279$6737%28
SELL NoWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?24¢114$2737%28
SELL NoWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?24¢50$1237%28
SELL NoWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?24¢10$2.4037%28
BUY NoWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?25.7¢469$12137%28
SELL NoWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?71¢36$2637%28
SELL NoWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?70.4¢130$9237%28
SELL YesUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?18¢143$2637%28
BUY YesUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?19¢532$10137%28