sharpside
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Traders/Rank #15,913

0x0a8…05a4

0x0a8…05a4
WR 60+SportCulturePolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$4,199vol $763k
PnL 30d+$157gains $2,578 · losses $3,238
PnL 7d−$335win rate 7d 66.4%
Win rate64.6%adj 64.0% · 30d 64.6%
Open value$614cash n/a
Positions62 / 15,469open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 29m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,812below peak −$2,335Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 64.6% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 62

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes11890.7¢99.4¢$117+$10$0
Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes11290.1¢99.9¢$111+$11$0
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 15 and 18 million views this week?Yes11090.7¢99.2¢$109+$9.37$0
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes8084.5¢99.8¢$80+$12$0
Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes5593.1¢99.7¢$54+$3.57$0
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes3191¢99.4¢$31+$2.61$0
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes2091¢99¢$20+$1.59$0
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?No1953.4¢66¢$12+$2.39$0
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No1191¢96.9¢$11+$0.64$0
Will "Patient Zero" hit 47m first week streams?Yes1094¢93.9¢$8.99−$0.01$0
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes2048¢34¢$6.90−$2.85$0
M25 Austin, TX: Khololwam Montsi vs Jonah BraswellJonah Braswell954¢49.5¢$4.46−$0.41$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No572¢79.5¢$3.98+$0.38$0
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?No590¢86.5¢$3.91−$0.16$0
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Yes513¢72¢$3.60+$2.95$0
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?No370¢86¢$2.65+$0.49$0
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?No374¢78.5¢$2.31+$0.13$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?No276¢98.1¢$1.70+$0.38$0
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No265¢94.5¢$1.58+$0.49$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No450.6¢36.5¢$1.50−$0.58$0
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes240¢82¢$1.49+$0.76$0
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?Yes818¢16.2¢$1.32−$0.15$0
Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Yes155¢8¢$1.20+$0.45$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No30¢34.5¢$1.18+$1.18$0
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No191¢97.2¢$1.16+$0.07$0
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes191.6¢97.8¢$1.16+$0.07$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?No192¢97.3¢$1.15+$0.06$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?No190¢93.8¢$1.14+$0.05$0
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No10¢100¢$1.13+$1.13$0
Will Apple’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?No191¢94.6¢$1.13+$0.04$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes269¢71.5¢$1.13+$0.04$0
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No199¢98.7¢$1.09$0$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?No178¢77¢$1.08−$0.01$0
Will Apple’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of 2026?No198¢95.1¢$1.06−$0.03$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?No191¢86¢$1.03−$0.06$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $6.00T and $6.50T at the end of 2026?No193¢80¢$0.94−$0.15$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes229¢40.5¢$0.81+$0.23$0
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes184¢62¢$0.80−$0.29$0
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1220.8¢0.6¢$0.73−$0.27$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes541¢11.5¢$0.57−$1.48$0
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes525¢10.5¢$0.53−$0.72$0
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?No1128¢4.8¢$0.51−$2.47$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes721¢6.5¢$0.46−$1.02$0
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2690.6¢0.2¢$0.40−$1.24$0
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes52.6¢7.4¢$0.37+$0.24$0
Will Trump Airport become law this year?Yes1547.7¢2.4¢$0.35−$6.80$0
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6650.3¢0.1¢$0.33−$1.66+$0.74
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Yes175¢1.9¢$0.33−$0.53$0
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes602.7¢0.5¢$0.30−$1.31+$0.63
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?Yes332¢7.5¢$0.25−$0.81$0
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes670.5¢0.3¢$0.20−$0.13$0
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes174¢1.2¢$0.20−$0.48$0
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes510.5¢0.3¢$0.15−$0.10$0
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Yes551¢2.4¢$0.12−$2.43$0
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?Yes2286.6¢0.5¢$0.12−$19+$2.30
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?Yes82.4¢0.9¢$0.07−$0.13$0
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes194¢4.1¢$0.05−$1.04$0
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes188¢3.5¢$0.04−$1.05$0
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes700.6¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.38$0
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes51.2¢0.4¢$0.02−$0.04$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes340.7¢0.5¢$0.02−$1.35+$0.89
Will "UNABOMBER" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes1925¢0.1¢$0.01−$4.78$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
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BUY Ani AmiraghyanW15 Bol: Maileen Nuudi vs Ani Amiraghyan98¢5$4.9765%39
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BUY LiquidCounter-Strike: Liquid vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group B95¢10$9.9365%39
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BUY Amelia PaszunW35 Monastir: Amelia Paszun vs Marie Villet95¢5$4.9765%39
BUY Amelia PaszunW35 Monastir: Amelia Paszun vs Marie Villet95¢5$4.9765%39
BUY Amelia PaszunW35 Monastir: Amelia Paszun vs Marie Villet96¢5$4.9765%39
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BUY GalorysCounter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs91¢11$9.9165%39
BUY GalorysCounter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs89¢6$4.9565%39