sharpside
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Seeking-Alpha01

0x0a9…d552
SharpWR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$9,749vol $456k
PnL 30d−$1,224gains $13.2k · losses $9,690
PnL 7d−$803win rate 7d 35.6%
Win rate66.2%adj 65.1% · 30d 48.2%
Open value$3,443cash n/a
Positions15 / 286open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.6%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.7kbelow peak −$4,032Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 66.2% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? · Yesclosed+$1,550Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? · Noclosed+$836Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yesclosed+$795Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yesclosed+$747Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? · Yesclosed+$707

Worst markets

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yesclosed−$1,727Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yesclosed−$1,049Will Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election? · Yesclosed−$695Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election? · Yesclosed−$645Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Noclosed−$567

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,19793.2¢98.7¢$1,182+$66$0
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Yes1,18960.7¢59.5¢$708−$15$0
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Yes30644.2¢96¢$294+$159+$190
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Yes46340.3¢58¢$269+$82−$12
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?No1,40633.5¢16.5¢$232−$239−$59
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes1,12821.2¢15.5¢$175−$64+$205
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?No20361.2¢74.5¢$151+$27$0
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?Yes46324.5¢32.5¢$151+$37$0
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Yes90423.6¢13.5¢$122−$91+$13
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?No71532.1¢14.5¢$104−$126+$0.06
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes6050.3¢47.5¢$29−$1.70$0
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?No4056¢68.5¢$27+$5.00$0
Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Yes6311.1¢0.1¢$0.63−$6.54$0
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes660.1¢0.4¢$0.26+$0.20$0
Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Yes197¢1.3¢$0.25−$1.11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?63¢80$5066%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?50.3¢60$3066%71Sharp
BUY NoWill GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?56¢40$2266%71Sharp
BUY NoWill GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?58¢38$2266%71Sharp
BUY NoWill GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?61¢85$5266%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?40.3¢463$18766%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?24.5¢463$11366%71Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?57¢60$3466%71Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?58¢221$12866%71Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?57¢17$9.4466%71Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?63.7¢732$46666%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?95.2¢463$44066%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?91.9¢735$67566%71Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?52.8¢160$8466%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Capitão Alberto Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?2¢69$1.3866%71Sharp
SELL NoWill Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?1.1¢513$5.3966%71Sharp
SELL NoWill Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?0.3¢2,656$9.1266%71Sharp
SELL NoWill Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?1.4¢332$4.6266%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?97.9¢53$5266%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Delegado Alessandro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?88.9¢81$7266%71Sharp