PnL all-time−$2,071vol $86.8k
PnL 30d+$607gains $612 · losses $25
PnL 7d+$288win rate 7d 64.0%
Win rate63.7%adj 61.3% · 30d 63.4%
Open value$5,097cash n/a
Positions10 / 101open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 63.7% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$869Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$538Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12? · Yesclosed+$122Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? · Yesclosed+$84Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 12? · Yesclosed+$83
Worst markets
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yesclosed−$1,542Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,316Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 12? · Yesclosed−$590Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13? · Yesclosed−$502Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Noopen−$25
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,058 | 97.2¢ | 99.7¢ | $2,052 | +$52 | +$0.56 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2,060 | 97.1¢ | 97¢ | $1,997 | −$3.09 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,475 | 21.6¢ | 27.5¢ | $406 | +$87 | −$13 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | No | 405 | 91.2¢ | 92¢ | $373 | +$3.05 | $0 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 297 | 85.4¢ | 82.5¢ | $245 | −$8.68 | −$16 | |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 125 | 16¢ | 19.5¢ | $24 | +$4.38 | $0 |
Recent trades
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