PnL all-time−$9.37vol $25.3k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.5%adj 47.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,291cash n/a
Positions5 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$9.37below peak −$8.53Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.5% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$11Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? · Noclosed+$5.202026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31? · Noopen+$2.58Will South Africa win Miss Universe 2025? · Noclosed+$2.40Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$1.60
Worst markets
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 20–27? · Yesclosed−$13Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president? · Noclosed−$6.96Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix? · Yesclosed−$4.60Will Michelle Bachelet come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? · Yesopen−$2.08Will Francis Arinze be the next pope? · Noclosed−$1.84
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? | Yes | 520 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $520 | +$0.52 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March? | No | 390 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $390 | +$1.26 | $0 | |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31? | No | 381 | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $381 | +$2.58 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Bachelet come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 520 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.08 | $0 | |
| Will 'Wi$h Li$t' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th? | Yes | 398 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.26 | $0 |
Recent trades
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