sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,330

madbears

0x0b4…2405
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$342vol $101k
PnL 30d+$190gains $1,762 · losses $0.10
PnL 7d+$449win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate98.6%adj 95.3% · 30d 99.5%
Open value$249cash n/a
Positions15 / 295open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age38dlast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$489below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale36
Adjusted win rateraw 98.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?No24998.4¢99.8¢$249+$3.25+$4.70
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17?Yes61096.5¢0¢$0−$589−$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 4?Yes48355.3¢0¢$0−$267−$5.19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18?Yes31282.4¢0¢$0−$257−$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 15?No20296.7¢0¢$0−$195−$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?No15871.6¢0¢$0−$113−$1.39
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25?Yes13552.2¢0¢$0−$71−$1.69
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2?No13082.3¢0¢$0−$107−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30?Yes9976.7¢0¢$0−$76−$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 15?Yes9790.6¢0¢$0−$88−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 17?No5494.2¢0¢$0−$51−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 12?Yes5085.6¢0¢$0−$42−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 30?No3179.8¢0¢$0−$25−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 1?No2660.5¢0¢$0−$16−$6.54
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 25?No2551.5¢0¢$0−$13−$0.32

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 12?99¢112$11199%57
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?99.5¢62$6299%57
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?99.3¢24$2499%57
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?99¢139$13799%57
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?99.2¢5$4.9699%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?99¢10$9.7099%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?98.9¢10$9.8999%57
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?99¢40$4099%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?99.3¢15$1599%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?99¢41$4199%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?97.3¢67$6599%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?97¢32$3199%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?97¢77$7599%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?99¢339$33699%57
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?98.5¢60$5999%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 12?99¢184$18299%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 12?98.9¢14$1499%57
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 12?97¢13$1399%57
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 12?97¢47$4699%57
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12?99¢5$4.9599%57