sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,711

Gdub

0x0b6…49bd
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,060vol $12.7M
PnL 30d+$4,915gains $5,304 · losses $816
PnL 7d−$260win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate81.7%adj 80.5% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$100kcash n/a
Positions45 / 1,137open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.4%of equity peak
Account age5.7ylast trade 7d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$36.4kbelow peak −$456Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 81.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d76
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No24.2k76.6¢82.5¢$19.9k+$1,416$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No13.4k31.6¢91.5¢$12.2k+$7,994$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No7,52979.2¢93.9¢$7,069+$1,107$0
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No7,17487.2¢97.7¢$7,005+$750$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No6,00079.7¢97.2¢$5,829+$1,049$0
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No6,00095.5¢93.5¢$5,610−$120$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No4,86194.9¢95.5¢$4,642+$30+$577
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No5,40055.1¢76.5¢$4,131+$1,156$0
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?No3,40089.9¢94¢$3,196+$140$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No3,60057.1¢84.5¢$3,042+$986$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No3,45086.9¢85.5¢$2,949−$49+$4.46
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No3,04290.6¢96.5¢$2,936+$178$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No3,00062¢73.5¢$2,205+$345$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,17841¢93.5¢$2,036+$1,143$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No2,00087¢96.2¢$1,923+$183$0
US recession by end of 2026?No2,00061¢93.5¢$1,870+$650$0
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No1,75493.1¢98.6¢$1,728+$95+$17
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No1,48790.8¢97.6¢$1,450+$101+$537
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?No1,41991.5¢99.5¢$1,411+$113$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes1,95986.7¢65.5¢$1,283−$415−$441
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No1,27269.1¢93.5¢$1,189+$311$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1,31181¢80.4¢$1,053−$8.52+$18
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?No1,00079¢81.5¢$815+$25$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No80061.9¢95.9¢$767+$272$0
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No80892.5¢94¢$759+$12+$12
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes1,00054¢75.5¢$755+$215$0
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No72159¢85.5¢$616+$191$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No50081.6¢97.2¢$486+$78$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No50067.1¢96.8¢$484+$148$0
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No50088.8¢96¢$480+$36$0
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?No35094.3¢96.7¢$339+$8.58+$0.94
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes54045¢32.5¢$176−$68$0
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?No191.9¢96.4¢$0.96+$0.05+$40
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes525¢3.8¢$0.19−$1.06$0
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No2,09069.3¢0¢$0−$1,449−$331
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No2,00068¢0¢$0−$1,360$0
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Yes2,00020¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes1,09218.2¢0¢$0−$198$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?Yes50050¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?Yes50073¢0¢$0−$365$0
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No50034¢0¢$0−$170$0
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?No49475.9¢0¢$0−$375$0
Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?Yes37288¢0¢$0−$327+$3.03
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionYes30248¢0¢$0−$145+$0.79
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?No5233.8¢0¢$0−$18$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?96¢3,000$2,88082%59
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?95¢4,000$3,80082%59
SELL YesWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?69¢4,848$3,34582%59
BUY NoWill OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?94.3¢412$38882%59
BUY NoWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?57.4¢1,856$1,06582%59
BUY YesWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?88.4¢3,000$2,65282%59
SELL NoWill AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?80¢543$43482%59
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?99.3¢3,000$2,98082%59
BUY NoWill AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?93.4¢400$37482%59
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.2¢10.0k$9,62082%59
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?98.9¢4,000$3,95682%59
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?79¢2,000$1,58082%59
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?79¢3,000$2,37082%59
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?99¢5,000$4,95182%59
BUY NoLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?92¢1,500$1,38082%59
BUY NoLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?94¢1,000$94082%59
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.1¢18.8k$18.1k82%59Whale
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.1¢377$36282%59
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.1¢357$34382%59
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.1¢2,417$2,32382%59