sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,178

ElonMuusk

0x0b9…e4f1
WR 60+1y+Crypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,826vol $257k
PnL 30d−$741gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$277win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.8%adj 59.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,661cash n/a
Positions29 / 97open / all-time
Max drawdown−50.6%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 6mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,341below peak −$6,050Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 61.8% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity49

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?No2,08528.3¢57¢$1,189+$598$0
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?No69934.2¢54.5¢$381+$142$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?No50123.9¢67.5¢$338+$218$0
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No30048¢95¢$285+$141$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No30037¢93.6¢$281+$170$0
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?Yes20334¢100¢$203+$134+$55
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No20028¢98.2¢$196+$140$0
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?No20041¢96.8¢$194+$112$0
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No27038.6¢67¢$181+$77$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No14032.7¢91¢$127+$82$0
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?No11776¢100¢$117+$28$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes61519¢9.9¢$61−$56$0
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No5055¢93.6¢$47+$19+$8.50
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?No3036¢55.5¢$17+$5.85$0
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes30022¢5.4¢$16−$50$0
APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes5003.2¢2.6¢$13−$3.00$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No937.1¢97.1¢$8.53+$5.27$0
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?Yes3024¢18¢$5.40−$1.80$0
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Yes1311¢18¢$2.36+$0.92$0
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?No2,23222.8¢0¢$0−$509$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes50813¢0¢$0−$66$0
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?No50018¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?No5007¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?Yes40061¢0¢$0−$244$0
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?No20040¢0¢$0−$80$0
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchNo20041¢0¢$0−$82$0
Tread FDV above $20M one day after launchNo10019¢0¢$0−$19$0
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?No4055.7¢0¢$0−$22$0
Ethereum flipped in 2026?No2053¢0¢$0−$11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesEdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?41¢40$1662%41
BUY YesBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?0.3¢21.5k$6462%41
BUY YesBased FDV above $1B one day after launch?0.1¢2,249$2.2562%41
BUY YesEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?8¢203$1662%41
BUY YesEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?8¢2,500$20062%41
BUY NoBased FDV above $50M one day after launch?9¢100$9.0062%41
BUY NoUSD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?28¢399$11262%41
BUY NoUSD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?27¢325$8862%41
SELL YesMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?26¢638$16662%41
BUY YesEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?1.6¢52$0.8362%41
BUY YesEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?31¢327$10162%41
BUY YesEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?2.3¢584$1362%41
BUY NoUSD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?17¢49$8.3362%41
BUY NoUSD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?16¢49$7.8562%41
BUY DownHyperliquid Up or Down - March 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET4¢5$0.2162%41
SELL DownBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET97¢4$3.4262%41
SELL DownBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET57¢5$2.8562%41
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET31¢19$5.8662%41
BUY NoBased FDV above $100M one day after launch?52¢27$1462%41
BUY NoUSD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?19¢83$1662%41