sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,476

tugator

0x0c2…d223
WhalePoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$7,558vol $4.03M
PnL 30d−$4,362gains $141 · losses $199
PnL 7d−$1,615win rate 7d 37.5%
Win rate48.4%adj 48.5% · 30d 37.5%
Open value$105kcash n/a
Positions99 / 3,554open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.8%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$45.9kbelow peak −$24.5kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.4% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity46

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 99

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes115k0.8¢19.9¢$22.8k+$21.9k$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes89.0k0.9¢13.2¢$11.7k+$10.9k+$2,485
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes95.0k0.8¢10.2¢$9,690+$8,948+$1,651
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes115k0.8¢8.1¢$9,258+$8,359$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes87.0k0.8¢7.4¢$6,395+$5,715+$3,280
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No5,48198.3¢98.4¢$5,391+$2.43+$42
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes108k0.8¢4.6¢$4,974+$4,129+$273
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5,00098.2¢98.3¢$4,913+$0.06+$578
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No4,72396.8¢96.9¢$4,574+$2.36$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes85.0k0.8¢3.1¢$2,593+$1,928+$616
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No2,50098¢98.1¢$2,451+$1.25+$61
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No2,50097.3¢97.3¢$2,431−$1.25+$96
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢48.6¢$2,428+$2,388$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes60.0k0.8¢2.8¢$1,650+$1,181+$986
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes115k0.8¢1.4¢$1,553+$654$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No1,39699.6¢99.7¢$1,391+$0.70$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes69.6k0.8¢1.7¢$1,148+$605+$239
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes45.6k0.8¢2.3¢$1,049+$693+$736
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢15.2¢$758+$718$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes115k0.8¢0.7¢$748−$151$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No69099.6¢99.7¢$687+$0.34$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes33.6k0.8¢1.8¢$589+$326+$810
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes84.3k0.8¢0.5¢$464−$195−$85
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No45699.7¢99.8¢$455+$0.23$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50.0k0.8¢0.9¢$450+$59+$78
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No45697.3¢97.6¢$445+$1.14+$96
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes72.5k0.8¢0.5¢$399−$168−$140
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes33.2k0.8¢1¢$315+$56+$301
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes61.9k0.8¢0.5¢$278−$205−$82
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes32.1k0.8¢0.9¢$272+$22+$248
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes73.0k0.8¢0.4¢$255−$315−$101
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No20984.7¢84.9¢$178+$0.31$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes105k0.8¢0.2¢$158−$663−$62
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢3.2¢$158+$118$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes104k0.8¢0.2¢$157−$659−$65
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes75.0k0.8¢0.2¢$113−$473+$7.50
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No8698.7¢98.8¢$85+$0.05−$2,476
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No8399.9¢100¢$83+$0.04−$34
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000.8¢1.3¢$63+$23+$3,553
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes115k0.8¢0.1¢$58−$841$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes115k0.8¢0.1¢$58−$841$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes115k0.8¢0.1¢$58−$841$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes115k0.8¢0.1¢$58−$841$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes111k0.8¢0.1¢$55−$809−$26
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes110k0.8¢0.1¢$55−$803−$31
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes110k0.8¢0.1¢$55−$802−$31
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes108k0.8¢0.1¢$54−$790−$41
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes105k0.8¢0.1¢$53−$768+$1.88
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes105k0.8¢0.1¢$53−$768−$21
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.0k0.8¢0.5¢$50−$28−$485
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes95.0k0.8¢0.1¢$48−$695−$60
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.0k0.8¢0.5¢$45−$33+$149
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes85.0k0.8¢0.1¢$43−$622−$206
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes80.0k0.8¢0.1¢$40−$585−$91
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes79.4k0.8¢0.1¢$40−$580−$210
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.8¢$38−$1.56$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes70.0k0.8¢0.1¢$35−$512−$241
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50.0k0.8¢0.1¢$25−$366−$375
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes46.7k0.8¢0.1¢$23−$342−$449
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.5¢$23−$17$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.4¢$18−$22$0
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.4¢$18−$22$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.4¢$18−$22$0
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.4¢$18−$22$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.4¢$18−$22$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.0k0.8¢0.2¢$15−$63−$95
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.0k0.8¢0.2¢$15−$63−$421
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.0k0.8¢0.2¢$15−$63−$273
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.3¢$13−$27$0
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.3¢$13−$27$0
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.3¢$13−$27$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.3¢$13−$27$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.3¢$13−$27$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k0.8¢0.1¢$10−$146−$256
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k0.8¢0.1¢$10−$146$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k0.8¢0.1¢$10−$146−$81
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k0.8¢0.1¢$10−$146−$207
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k0.8¢0.1¢$10−$146−$233
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.2¢$7.50−$32$0
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.1¢$2.50−$37$0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.1¢$2.50−$37$0
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.1¢$2.50−$37$0
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.1¢$2.50−$37$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.1¢$2.50−$37$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.1¢$2.50−$37$0
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.1¢$2.50−$37$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.1¢$2.50−$37$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.8¢0.1¢$2.50−$37$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes290.8¢0.5¢$0.13−$0.10−$48

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢10.0k$1048%37
SELL YesWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢10.5k$1148%37
SELL YesWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢10.0k$1048%37
SELL YesWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.5¢2,780$1448%37
BUY NoWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?97.6¢46$4548%37
SELL YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1¢168$1.6848%37
BUY NoWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?99.8¢658$65748%37
BUY NoWill Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?99.6¢278$27748%37
SELL YesWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢7,014$7.0148%37
SELL YesWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢40.0k$4048%37
SELL YesWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢15.0k$1548%37
SELL YesWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢20.0k$2048%37
SELL YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.4¢10.0k$4048%37
SELL YesWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢30.0k$3048%37
SELL YesWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢30.0k$3048%37
SELL YesWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.4¢10.6k$4348%37
SELL YesWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢21.0k$2148%37
SELL YesWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.4¢1,883$7.5348%37
SELL YesWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.9¢2,417$2248%37
SELL YesWill Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1¢50.5k$5048%37