| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 498 | 1.9¢ | 84¢ | $418 | +$408 | +$36 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | No | 360 | 39¢ | 88.5¢ | $319 | +$178 | +$4.40 | |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: Sporting CP O/U 4.5 | Under | 300 | 2.1¢ | 86.6¢ | $260 | +$253 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | No | 625 | 5.2¢ | 39¢ | $244 | +$212 | $0 | |
| São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | Under | 300 | 3¢ | 76¢ | $228 | +$219 | $0 | |
| Will John Cornyn endorse Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate Election? | No | 261 | 33¢ | 86.5¢ | $226 | +$140 | $0 | |
| Will Juventus qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 580 | 28¢ | 36¢ | $209 | +$46 | $0 | |
| Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k? | No | 254 | 8¢ | 75.5¢ | $192 | +$172 | +$36 | |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 140 | 62.5¢ | 87¢ | $122 | +$34 | −$9.73 | |
| Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | Yes | 300 | 3¢ | 35.5¢ | $107 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of October 2026? | No | 100 | 96.3¢ | 96.5¢ | $96 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | 300 | 16¢ | 30.5¢ | $92 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | No | 153 | 53.6¢ | 59.5¢ | $91 | +$9.05 | −$7.95 | |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec? | Yes | 538 | 27.6¢ | 16.5¢ | $89 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 85.3¢ | $85 | −$0.71 | −$30 | |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1? | Yes | 223 | 8.6¢ | 35.2¢ | $78 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary? | Yes | 79 | 92.9¢ | 92.7¢ | $73 | −$0.18 | −$8.90 | |
| Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9? | Yes | 83 | 1.1¢ | 84.4¢ | $70 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 192 | 12.1¢ | 36.3¢ | $70 | +$46 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31? | Yes | 67 | 73.2¢ | 91.5¢ | $62 | +$12 | −$0.59 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 80 | 40.6¢ | 76.5¢ | $61 | +$29 | +$13 | |
| Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027? | No | 90 | 63.6¢ | 67.5¢ | $61 | +$3.46 | −$2.40 | |
| Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | No | 272 | 24¢ | 22¢ | $60 | −$5.44 | +$4.10 | |
| Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 3 - 1 D.C. United SC? | Yes | 149 | 2¢ | 40¢ | $60 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? | Yes | 360 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $58 | +$29 | +$9.60 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 379 | 2¢ | 15.2¢ | $57 | +$50 | +$11 | |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 217 | 6.4¢ | 26¢ | $57 | +$43 | +$8.80 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 85 | 19.4¢ | 65.5¢ | $55 | +$39 | +$25 | |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | Yes | 927 | 6¢ | 5.9¢ | $54 | −$1.16 | +$17 | |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? | Yes | 493 | 9.4¢ | 11¢ | $54 | +$7.69 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026? | No | 55 | 89.6¢ | 98.1¢ | $54 | +$4.64 | −$121 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 90 | 67.3¢ | 59.4¢ | $53 | −$7.08 | +$234 | |
| Gemini Argon released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 57 | 90.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $53 | +$1.22 | $0 | |
| Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | No | 55 | 95.6¢ | 95¢ | $52 | −$0.36 | $0 | |
| Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | Yes | 1,111 | 8.9¢ | 4.7¢ | $52 | −$46 | +$11 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | No | 239 | 10.7¢ | 21.5¢ | $51 | +$26 | −$66 | |
| Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | Yes | 81 | 66¢ | 63.5¢ | $51 | −$1.98 | −$3.95 | |
| Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5? | Yes | 60 | 62¢ | 84.5¢ | $51 | +$14 | +$7.50 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 146 | 40.7¢ | 34¢ | $50 | −$9.81 | $0 | |
| Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? | Yes | 55 | 90¢ | 90¢ | $50 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 130 | 0.6¢ | 37.9¢ | $49 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 75 | 25.9¢ | 65¢ | $49 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? | Yes | 81 | 16¢ | 59.5¢ | $48 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours? | No | 59 | 84.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $47 | −$3.07 | −$13 | |
| Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 90 | 22.9¢ | 52¢ | $47 | +$26 | +$2.60 | |
| Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 50 | 74¢ | 93.5¢ | $47 | +$9.75 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027? | No | 61 | 40.4¢ | 76.5¢ | $47 | +$22 | +$0.96 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | No | 139 | 32¢ | 32.5¢ | $45 | +$0.69 | $0 | |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $185B by October 31? | No | 50 | 76¢ | 90¢ | $45 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? | No | 76 | 48.4¢ | 59¢ | $45 | +$8.00 | +$0.93 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 120 | 0.3¢ | 36.8¢ | $44 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 93¢ | 87.5¢ | $44 | −$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month? | No | 60 | 75¢ | 72.5¢ | $44 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31? | No | 50 | 85¢ | 86.5¢ | $43 | +$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft? | No | 78 | 59.2¢ | 55.5¢ | $43 | −$2.88 | −$30 | |
| Senate control favorite on November 2? | Democratic Party | 44 | 97.1¢ | 96.1¢ | $42 | −$0.44 | −$2.76 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms? | No | 60 | 69.3¢ | 70¢ | $42 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026? | No | 50 | 91.1¢ | 83.4¢ | $42 | −$3.88 | $0 | |
| Will HANJIN BRION win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | Yes | 613 | 0.2¢ | 6.8¢ | $41 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 60 | 72.3¢ | 67.5¢ | $41 | −$2.90 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 60 | 65.3¢ | 66.5¢ | $40 | +$0.70 | −$2.83 | |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31? | No | 83 | 15¢ | 48¢ | $40 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | Yes | 148 | 37.9¢ | 26¢ | $38 | −$18 | −$30 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 441 | 2.1¢ | 8.6¢ | $38 | +$29 | +$88 | |
| Will Wintrust Financial (WTFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50 | 79¢ | 75.5¢ | $38 | −$1.75 | $0 | |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%? | No | 48 | 74¢ | 78.5¢ | $38 | +$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? | No | 60 | 61¢ | 62.5¢ | $38 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | No | 53 | 76.9¢ | 69.5¢ | $37 | −$3.95 | $0 | |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 60 | 67.3¢ | 61.5¢ | $37 | −$3.50 | −$4.80 | |
| Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? | Yes | 109 | 20.9¢ | 33.5¢ | $37 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? | No | 45 | 91.1¢ | 81¢ | $36 | −$4.58 | −$34 | |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? | Yes | 82 | 45¢ | 44.5¢ | $36 | −$0.41 | −$3.09 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mike Rogers by October 31, 2026? | No | 39 | 2¢ | 92¢ | $36 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Oregon Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? | Yes | 185 | 12.1¢ | 19¢ | $35 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31? | Yes | 145 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $35 | +$13 | +$7.00 | |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 92 | 27.1¢ | 37.5¢ | $35 | +$9.62 | $0 | |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 35 | 86.7¢ | 97.1¢ | $34 | +$3.64 | $0 | |
| Will Rennes qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 50 | 2¢ | 67.5¢ | $34 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 50 | 71¢ | 67¢ | $33 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Brandon Johnson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | No | 38 | 86.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $33 | +$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will “Ain't in It for My Health” by Zach Top win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 36 | 84.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $33 | +$2.24 | −$1.30 | |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026? | No | 40 | 80.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $33 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 68 | 40.3¢ | 47.4¢ | $32 | +$4.86 | +$0.78 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $45B by October 31? | No | 50 | 75¢ | 64.5¢ | $32 | −$5.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | Yes | 51 | 46.8¢ | 63.5¢ | $32 | +$8.44 | $0 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $55B by October 31? | No | 50 | 73¢ | 63¢ | $32 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | No | 60 | 66¢ | 52¢ | $31 | −$8.40 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 778 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $31 | +$7.78 | +$11 | |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 10.4¢ | 31¢ | $31 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | No | 85 | 9¢ | 36.5¢ | $31 | +$23 | −$1.84 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 48 | 55.7¢ | 65¢ | $31 | +$4.43 | +$1.20 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? | Yes | 40 | 44¢ | 77¢ | $31 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | Yes | 78 | 36.2¢ | 39.5¢ | $31 | +$2.57 | +$1.79 | |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | No | 44 | 73.1¢ | 68.5¢ | $30 | −$2.04 | −$6.01 | |
| Will Team WE win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | Yes | 250 | 0.2¢ | 12¢ | $30 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Too Late" this week? | No | 30 | 49¢ | 97.6¢ | $29 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | Yes | 300 | 10¢ | 9.8¢ | $29 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 64¢ | 73¢ | $29 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 60 | 37¢ | 48.5¢ | $29 | +$6.90 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 38 | 78.9¢ | 74.5¢ | $29 | −$1.69 | −$7.70 | |
