sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,647

pmtosat-

0x0c9…a00b
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$34.8kvol $811k
PnL 30d−$18.9kgains $10.6k · losses $12
PnL 7d+$9,200win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate90.5%adj 88.8% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$36.4kcash n/a
Positions46 / 492open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.1ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$30.7kbelow peak −$31.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 90.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Bearsclosed+$10.1kWill Trump visit China by April 30? · Noclosed+$3,521Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship? · Noclosed+$2,910Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Noclosed+$2,137England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentinaclosed+$2,029

Worst markets

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexicoopen−$17.9kSpread: Rams (-1.5) · Ramsopen−$15.4kSpread: Bengals (-3.5) · Bengalsopen−$10.1kWill the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship? · Noclosed−$5,444Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship? · Noclosed−$4,310

Open positions · 46

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No13.5k91.2¢98.6¢$13.3k+$996+$175
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Yes10.0k95.9¢98.2¢$9,832+$225$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No13.2k31.8¢42.5¢$5,589+$1,404$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes9,12531.3¢42.5¢$3,878+$1,018$0
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?No3,97187.7¢94.8¢$3,762+$279$0
Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes40813¢5.1¢$21−$32$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?Yes5610.2¢5.1¢$2.86−$2.86$0
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico37.0k48.4¢0¢$0−$17.9k$0
Spread: Rams (-1.5)Rams32.3k47.6¢0¢$0−$15.4k+$9.53
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)Bengals21.5k46.9¢0¢$0−$10.1k$0
New Mexico State vs. Florida StateNew Mexico State14.3k2.5¢0¢$0−$362−$18
Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)Seahawks8,78848¢0¢$0−$4,218$0
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance5,47356.3¢0¢$0−$3,079$0
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes5,40022.8¢0¢$0−$1,229$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,00041.2¢0¢$0−$2,060$0
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes4,87040¢0¢$0−$1,948$0
Spread: Packers (-3.5)Packers3,86145¢0¢$0−$1,737$0
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?No3,58140.8¢0¢$0−$1,459$0
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes3,10091¢0¢$0−$2,821$0
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes3,00016.8¢0¢$0−$503$0
Will France win on 2026-07-09?No2,85038.8¢0¢$0−$1,104$0
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes1,50136.9¢0¢$0−$554$0
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway1,50032.3¢0¢$0−$484$0
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Yes1,45028¢0¢$0−$406$0
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?No1,00077¢0¢$0−$770$0
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?No1,00083¢0¢$0−$830$0
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes1,00052¢0¢$0−$520$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18?No1,0000.3¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Eagles vs. BearsEagles87465¢0¢$0−$568$0
Spread: Bills (-6.5)Bills69547.9¢0¢$0−$333$0
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes67017¢0¢$0−$114$0
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States60052¢0¢$0−$312$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes55073¢0¢$0−$402$0
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes52558¢0¢$0−$305$0
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes50053¢0¢$0−$265$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes43056.3¢0¢$0−$242$0
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $192 in August?Yes3728.9¢0¢$0−$33−$1.12
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes35035¢0¢$0−$123$0
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes25022¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September?Yes13714¢0¢$0−$19−$0.23
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?No9373¢0¢$0−$68−$0.55
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes5027¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes4929.1¢0¢$0−$14+$6.12
Will any of the stolen KitKats be recovered by April 30?Yes352.4¢0¢$0−$0.83+$1.10
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No2679¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes828.7¢0¢$0−$2.37$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY BillsSpread: Bills (-6.5)48¢233$11291%42
BUY BillsSpread: Bills (-6.5)48¢421$20291%42
BUY ColtsSpread: Colts (-14.5)39.5¢754$29891%42
BUY BearsSpread: Bears (-3.5)49¢19.8k$9,70491%42
BUY PackersSpread: Packers (-3.5)45¢2,575$1,15991%42
BUY NoLindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?93.9¢500$47091%42
BUY NoLindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?93.6¢834$78091%42
BUY EaglesEagles vs. Bears65¢874$56891%42
BUY BroncosSpread: Rams (-1.5)53¢400$21291%42
SELL NoLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?94.3¢6,895$6,50191%42
BUY NoLindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?75.1¢563$42391%42
BUY NoLindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?73.9¢200$14891%42
BUY SeahawksSpread: Seahawks (-8.5)48¢8,788$4,21891%42
BUY NoLindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?72.5¢128$9391%42
BUY NoLindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?64.2¢92$5991%42
BUY BengalsSpread: Bengals (-3.5)46¢935$43091%42
BUY BengalsSpread: Bengals (-3.5)47¢1,432$67391%42
BUY YesWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September?2.8¢8$0.2191%42
BUY BengalsSpread: Bengals (-3.5)47¢19.1k$8,97291%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?35¢2,458$86091%42