PnL all-time+$2,704vol $631k
PnL 30d+$32gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$4.70win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate92.5%adj 78.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$52.7kcash n/a
Positions4 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 34d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,725below peak −$3,945Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 92.5% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025? · Yesclosed+$2,264Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? · Yesclosed+$1,563Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? · Noclosed+$1,016Will Ben Carson be Trump's HHS Secretary? · Noclosed+$822Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed+$800
Worst markets
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador? · Yesclosed−$5,490Will Real Madrid win La Liga? · Yesclosed−$2,168Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed−$344Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$19Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Noopen−$1.45
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 52.4k | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $52.2k | −$19 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 435 | 96.6¢ | 98.5¢ | $428 | +$8.11 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 40 | 98.9¢ | 95.3¢ | $38 | −$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? | No | 31 | 92¢ | 95.4¢ | $30 | +$1.04 | $0 |
Recent trades
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