PnL all-time+$5.63vol $78.2k
PnL 30d+$3.96gains $0 · losses $0.09
PnL 7d−$2.43win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate82.6%adj 77.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$151cash n/a
Positions6 / 124open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.2%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$15below peak −$2.70Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale11
Adjusted win rateraw 82.6% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$29Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$7.59Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$6.99Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yesclosed+$6.90Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$3.74
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · Noopen−$9.35Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$7.87Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$7.65Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed−$7.65Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$6.56
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | No | 139 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $139 | +$0.14 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18 | 26.2¢ | 65.5¢ | $12 | +$7.07 | +$22 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Up | 25 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.07 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Up | 13 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | No | 11 | 85¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.35 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 5 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 |
Recent trades
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