Traders/Rank #4,293

kSj39SJLtj

0x0d7…7d74

SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+<30d oldPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$6,764vol $816k

PnL 30d+$9,774gains $2,976 · losses $55

PnL 7d+$3,650win rate 7d 92.7%

Win rate94.4%adj 91.6% · 30d 94.4%

Open value$9,686cash n/a

Positions516 / 818open / all-time

Max drawdown−2.3%of equity peak

Account age22dlast trade 4m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,915below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

84/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55

Adjusted win rateraw 94.4% · shrunk toward 50%100

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 6%-9%? · Yesclosed+$74 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? · Yesclosed+$64 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 35%-40%? · Yesopen+$60 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 12%-15%? · Yesopen+$60 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%? · Yesclosed+$60

Worst markets

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3%-6%? · Yesopen−$56 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 10%-15%? · Yesopen−$52 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%? · Yesopen−$40 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 5%-10%? · Yesopen−$37 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? · Yesopen−$35

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	625	21.1¢	21.5¢	$134	+$2.37	+$3.49	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	467	22.2¢	23.6¢	$110	+$6.41	+$1.47	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 40%-45%?	Yes	445	22.2¢	22.5¢	$100	+$1.51	+$3.70	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	382	21.8¢	26¢	$99	+$16	+$3.24	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	348	18.3¢	28¢	$97	+$34	+$0.37	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	388	22.1¢	24¢	$93	+$7.19	+$0.71	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	352	19.9¢	24¢	$85	+$14	+$0.97	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	407	21.4¢	20.5¢	$83	−$3.84	+$3.76	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	287	20.3¢	28¢	$80	+$22	+$3.74	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	499	23¢	16¢	$80	−$35	+$9.18	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	355	22.3¢	22¢	$78	−$1.10	+$4.12	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	371	22.7¢	20¢	$74	−$9.97	+$1.74	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	321	20.2¢	23¢	$74	+$8.89	+$1.90	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	299	19.9¢	24.5¢	$73	+$14	+$6.08	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	400	18.2¢	18¢	$72	−$0.70	+$1.47	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	326	20.6¢	22¢	$72	+$4.47	+$6.77	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	299	23¢	23.5¢	$70	+$1.53	+$7.42	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	280	19.8¢	24.7¢	$69	+$14	−$2.89	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	401	20.5¢	17.1¢	$69	−$14	+$2.40	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	315	20¢	21.5¢	$67	+$4.50	+$3.19	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	491	21.2¢	13¢	$64	−$40	$0	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	309	20.6¢	20.5¢	$63	−$0.26	+$5.68	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	392	18.3¢	15.9¢	$62	−$9.27	$0	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	272	19.5¢	22.9¢	$62	+$9.11	$0	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	338	22.5¢	18.3¢	$62	−$14	+$26	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	315	21.9¢	19.5¢	$61	−$7.41	+$3.04	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	241	22.9¢	24.5¢	$59	+$3.86	+$8.24	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	247	22.6¢	23.5¢	$58	+$2.28	+$11	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	268	20.4¢	21.5¢	$58	+$3.04	+$7.72	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	318	22.9¢	18¢	$57	−$15	+$2.16	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 75%-80%?	Yes	368	22¢	15.5¢	$57	−$24	+$0.07	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	325	19.8¢	17.5¢	$57	−$7.33	$0	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	253	22.7¢	22¢	$56	−$1.71	+$12	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	252	20.9¢	22¢	$55	+$2.60	+$1.50	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	298	21.9¢	18.5¢	$55	−$10	−$2.35	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	254	20.8¢	21.7¢	$55	+$2.07	+$24	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	239	23¢	22.4¢	$53	−$1.54	+$11	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	258	21.3¢	20.5¢	$53	−$2.14	+$0.58	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	221	23¢	23.3¢	$51	+$0.54	+$3.95	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 18%-21%?	Yes	261	19.6¢	19.5¢	$51	−$0.38	+$0.26	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	225	23¢	22.5¢	$51	−$1.03	+$0.39	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	325	17.7¢	15.5¢	$50	−$7.24	+$1.43	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	642	15.8¢	7.7¢	$49	−$52	$0	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	250	19.1¢	19.6¢	$49	+$1.30	+$0.29	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	Yes	283	20.4¢	17¢	$48	−$9.72	+$7.90	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	304	21.1¢	15.7¢	$48	−$16	+$1.18	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	257	21¢	18.5¢	$47	−$6.35	+$1.99	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	364	20.6¢	13¢	$47	−$28	+$16	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	401	14.9¢	11.5¢	$46	−$14	$0	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	317	25¢	14.5¢	$46	−$33	+$12	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	204	22.1¢	22.5¢	$46	+$0.80	+$6.16	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	260	19.5¢	17.5¢	$45	−$5.20	+$2.19	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	258	20¢	17.6¢	$45	−$6.29	+$3.05	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	190	18.6¢	24¢	$45	+$10	+$1.41	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	206	22.7¢	21.7¢	$45	−$2.09	+$10	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	270	16.8¢	16.5¢	$45	−$0.92	+$1.58	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	242	20.6¢	18.4¢	$44	−$5.36	+$7.13	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	269	18¢	16.5¢	$44	−$4.04	+$6.18	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	275	20¢	16¢	$44	−$11	+$1.90	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	191	23¢	23¢	$44	+$0.01	+$4.13	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	224	19.7¢	19.5¢	$44	−$0.50	+$15	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	216	21.5¢	20.2¢	$44	−$2.79	+$1.09	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	216	20¢	20¢	$43	+$0.07	+$4.66	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	371	21.4¢	11.5¢	$43	−$37	$0	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	221	22.2¢	19.1¢	$42	−$6.82	+$39	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	220	19¢	19¢	$42	+$0.10	$0	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	260	21¢	16¢	$42	−$13	−$1.25	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	220	20.8¢	18.5¢	$41	−$5.05	+$9.29	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	208	20¢	19.5¢	$40	−$1.04	+$5.90	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	170	22.8¢	23.7¢	$40	+$1.47	+$1.32	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	216	21.5¢	18.5¢	$40	−$6.54	+$1.80	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	185	21.8¢	21.5¢	$40	−$0.52	+$2.65	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	215	23.4¢	18.5¢	$40	−$11	$0	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	262	21.5¢	15¢	$39	−$17	$0	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	195	23.2¢	20¢	$39	−$6.25	$0	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	216	23¢	18.1¢	$39	−$11	$0	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	200	22.3¢	19.4¢	$39	−$5.94	+$4.57	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	178	22.9¢	21.2¢	$38	−$3.10	+$4.27	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	183	20.6¢	20.5¢	$38	−$0.11	+$5.46	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	171	21.5¢	21.5¢	$37	−$0.07	+$15	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	201	20¢	18¢	$36	−$3.99	−$8.29	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	210	19.9¢	17.2¢	$36	−$5.69	+$4.71	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	217	23¢	16.5¢	$36	−$14	+$29	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	171	22.4¢	20.6¢	$35	−$3.00	+$4.61	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	219	23.1¢	16¢	$35	−$15	+$1.76	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	173	22.3¢	20¢	$35	−$4.04	+$10	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	203	22.3¢	17¢	$34	−$11	+$5.35	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	167	22.7¢	20.5¢	$34	−$3.64	+$14	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	166	20.1¢	20.7¢	$34	+$0.86	+$9.77	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	150	22.5¢	22.5¢	$34	−$0.04	+$8.45	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	145	22.4¢	23¢	$33	+$0.92	+$4.64	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	214	22.7¢	15.5¢	$33	−$15	+$0.15	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	227	16.8¢	14.5¢	$33	−$5.32	+$3.73	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	197	23.4¢	16.5¢	$32	−$13	+$4.30	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?	Yes	169	19.4¢	19¢	$32	−$0.64	+$11	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	149	22.1¢	21.5¢	$32	−$0.94	+$1.75	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	140	23¢	22.9¢	$32	−$0.12	+$12	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	277	13.5¢	11.5¢	$32	−$5.60	+$0.46	21d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	193	18.4¢	16.5¢	$32	−$3.65	+$5.00	21d 9h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 18%-21%?	Yes	141	23.6¢	22.5¢	$32	−$1.50	+$1.62	21d 9h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
4m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?	24¢	10	$2.40	94%	84	Sharp
4m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	22¢	189	$42	94%	84	Sharp
9m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	23¢	10	$2.30	94%	84	Sharp
9m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	23¢	10	$2.30	94%	84	Sharp
12m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?	28¢	10	$2.80	94%	84	Sharp
17m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	23¢	23	$5.29	94%	84	Sharp
17m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	23¢	20	$4.60	94%	84	Sharp
20m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?	24¢	37	$8.88	94%	84	Sharp
22m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?	24¢	30	$7.20	94%	84	Sharp
23m ago	BUY Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?	21.7¢	301	$65	94%	84	Sharp
23m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	23¢	39	$8.97	94%	84	Sharp
23m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 25%-30%?	18¢	100	$18	94%	84	Sharp
28m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	23¢	20	$4.60	94%	84	Sharp
28m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	23¢	39	$8.97	94%	84	Sharp
28m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	23¢	23	$5.29	94%	84	Sharp
32m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 25%-30%?	19¢	30	$5.70	94%	84	Sharp
33m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 50%-55%?	24.5¢	158	$39	94%	84	Sharp
34m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 50%-55%?	25.8¢	20	$5.16	94%	84	Sharp
41m ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?	21.7¢	240	$52	94%	84	Sharp
45m ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	17.4¢	110	$19	94%	84	Sharp