sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,951

CW1975

0x0d7…cb13
PnL 10k+PoliticsWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.8kvol $4.83M
PnL 30d−$534gains $720 · losses $913
PnL 7d−$212win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 44.4%
Open value$5,308cash n/a
Positions22 / 94open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$11.9kbelow peak −$2,006Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes15.6k22.8¢22.5¢$3,517−$45−$219
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes22.5k8.7¢7.5¢$1,688−$281+$97
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes4,0002.9¢2.6¢$102−$15+$78
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes111k0.2¢0¢$0−$261−$37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes104k0.3¢0¢$0−$341+$2,651
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes100k0.3¢0¢$0−$268−$9.93
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes42.0k1.2¢0¢$0−$511−$85
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No30.4k0.2¢0¢$0−$46$0
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes24.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$44−$163
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes10.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$17−$26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$12−$9.75
Trump out as President by June 30?Yes9,8000.2¢0¢$0−$18−$168
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes5,0000.6¢0¢$0−$29−$5.47
Trump out as President by July 31?Yes5,0000.3¢0¢$0−$13−$3.97
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes3,9981.2¢0¢$0−$47−$8.25
Trump out as President by September 30?Yes3,0000.2¢0¢$0−$4.68−$1.01
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes3,0001.8¢0¢$0−$54−$3.09
Trump out as President by August 31?Yes2,0000.1¢0¢$0−$2.78−$315
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00+$7.05
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.20−$0.10
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes9813.4¢0¢$0−$34+$41
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?Yes2000.8¢0¢$0−$1.54−$22

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?7¢10$0.7050%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?7¢100$7.0050%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?7¢178$1250%49
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?7¢37$2.6250%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?7¢559$3950%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?7¢200$1450%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?7¢200$1450%49
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?8¢100$8.0050%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?21¢300$6350%49
SELL YesPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?2.8¢1,500$4250%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?21¢58$1250%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?22¢842$18550%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?21¢9$1.9750%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?22¢296$6550%49
SELL YesPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?2.8¢2,000$5650%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?8¢54$4.3250%49
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?8¢123$9.8050%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?8¢568$4550%49
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?8¢61$4.8850%49
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?8¢661$5350%49