sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

BKno95

0x0d9…8cbe
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$16.3kvol $416k
PnL 30d+$2,332gains $1,646 · losses $232
PnL 7d+$169win rate 7d 81.6%
Win rate85.6%adj 84.2% · 30d 86.9%
Open value$16.9kcash n/a
Positions244 / 1,196open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.9%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$18.2kbelow peak −$167Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

85/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 85.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No5,67080¢88.5¢$5,018+$481$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,20075¢89¢$1,958+$309$0
Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Yes75087.7¢96.3¢$722+$65$0
Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?No73184.9¢76.5¢$559−$61$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes93055¢59.6¢$554+$43$0
Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?Yes56588.9¢94.5¢$534+$32$0
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?No54188.2¢97.9¢$529+$52$0
Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?No44573.7¢92.5¢$412+$84$0
Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes42376¢90¢$381+$59$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes39590.5¢96.2¢$380+$22$0
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Yes36892¢98.6¢$362+$24$0
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Yes32784.5¢97.1¢$317+$41$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Yes32093.6¢98¢$313+$14$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?No32094¢97.6¢$312+$11$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes32281.8¢95.8¢$308+$45+$39
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?No30796.6¢98.1¢$301+$4.66$0
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?No26293.1¢97.1¢$254+$11$0
Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?No25494.2¢97.8¢$248+$9.10$0
Will Jiří Veselka be the next Mayor of Liberec?No27095.1¢90.8¢$245−$12$0
Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?No23589.4¢95.4¢$224+$14$0
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Yes25559¢82.5¢$210+$60$0
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes19659.4¢96.7¢$189+$73$0
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No16490¢97.3¢$160+$12$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes16096.9¢97.5¢$156+$1.00$0
Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?No15589.4¢98.4¢$152+$14+$8.06
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes14590.7¢93.5¢$136+$4.05$0
Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?No15685.6¢86¢$134+$0.66$0
Will Petr Vokřál be the next Mayor of Brno?No10989.7¢98.2¢$107+$9.29+$8.88
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes10292.5¢95.4¢$97+$2.90$0
Will UTJ win 11 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No10088¢94.3¢$94+$6.30$0
Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Yes11066.2¢77.5¢$85+$12$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?No8594¢97.5¢$83+$2.98$0
Will Adam Zemek be the next Mayor of Brno?No8181.8¢97.9¢$79+$13+$25
Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?Yes11576.1¢66.5¢$76−$11$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Yes6593.6¢97.7¢$63+$2.67$0
Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes10025.3¢62.5¢$63+$37$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?Yes6197¢98.1¢$60+$0.67$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Yes6093.9¢97.4¢$58+$2.05$0
Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No6087¢95.8¢$57+$5.28$0
Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?No14139.3¢39.5¢$56+$0.28$0
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No4585.7¢95.5¢$43+$4.41+$1.89
Will Miroslav Sabol win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?No4391.7¢98.6¢$42+$2.93+$23
Will Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Yes6067.9¢69¢$41+$0.68$0
Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No4291.5¢96.3¢$40+$2.02$0
Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes5577.1¢70.5¢$39−$3.62$0
Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes10065¢37.5¢$38−$28$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?No3896.5¢98.7¢$37+$0.81$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No3595.8¢96¢$34+$0.07$0
Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Yes25515.5¢12.4¢$31−$8.07$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?Yes3097.8¢98.5¢$30+$0.21$0
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No3089.3¢94¢$28+$1.40$0
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?No3089¢93.5¢$28+$1.35$0
Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes5844¢48¢$28+$2.32$0
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?No2590¢98.9¢$25+$2.23+$1.38
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?No2097.4¢99¢$20+$0.32$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes2096¢98.5¢$20+$0.50$0
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election?Yes303.8¢65¢$20+$18$0
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?No2168.8¢91.6¢$19+$4.81$0
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?No2090¢93¢$19+$0.60$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No2178¢83.9¢$18+$1.24$0
Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?No1785.1¢97.8¢$17+$2.16$0
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Yes1981¢84.5¢$16+$0.67$0
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes5830¢26.5¢$15−$2.03$0
Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No1585¢94¢$14+$1.35$0
Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Yes9010.8¢15¢$14+$3.80$0
Will Jozef Králik win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Yes25513.9¢4.8¢$12−$23$0
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes5014¢23¢$12+$4.50$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Yes1091.3¢98.5¢$9.85+$0.71$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?Yes1098¢98.2¢$9.82+$0.02$0
Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No1065¢95.7¢$9.57+$3.07$0
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?No2016.7¢47.3¢$9.46+$6.12$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?No1090¢93.4¢$9.34+$0.34$0
Will Lenka Kovačevičová win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes585¢15.4¢$8.93+$6.03$0
Will Rastislav Gajarský win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?No993¢97.3¢$8.76+$0.39$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No1082.8¢83.6¢$8.36+$0.07$0
Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Yes408.2¢18.5¢$7.40+$4.10$0
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 148 and 152 seats after the 2026 election?Yes630.1¢10.1¢$6.33+$6.27$0
Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes665¢99.2¢$5.95+$2.05$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?No697¢98.6¢$5.92+$0.10$0
Will Tomáš Paleček be the next Mayor of Liberec?No583.8¢99.9¢$5.00+$0.81+$11
Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes1543.3¢32.6¢$4.88−$1.62$0
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No582¢96.9¢$4.84+$0.74$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?No3053.3¢1.6¢$4.73−$5.45$0
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 158 and 162 seats after the 2026 election?Yes4548.6¢10.5¢$4.69−$17−$3.95
Will Martin Kapitulík win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Yes777.8¢6.1¢$4.68−$1.28$0
Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes590.1¢92.5¢$4.63+$0.12$0
Will Klára Liptáková be the next Mayor of Brno?No590.7¢99.4¢$4.62+$0.41+$8.82
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?Yes702.6¢6.2¢$4.32+$2.53$0
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Yes209¢18.5¢$3.70+$1.90$0
Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?Yes493.5¢95.2¢$3.39+$0.06$0
Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes584.3¢4.4¢$2.55+$0.04$0
Will Tomáš Chovanec be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes1112.5¢2.2¢$2.39−$0.44$0
Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes5041.1¢0.5¢$2.27−$3.39$0
Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?No290.3¢97¢$1.47+$0.10+$7.86
Will Peter Cibulka win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes501.3¢1.9¢$0.93+$0.30$0
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes402.2¢2.3¢$0.92+$0.04$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Yes452¢1.9¢$0.83−$0.07$0
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes5060.4¢0.2¢$0.76−$1.31$0
Will Lukáš Hegner be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes304¢1.7¢$0.51−$0.69$0
Will Aleš Tolar be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes2000.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$0.10$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Tomáš Chovanec be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?3.3¢31$1.0286%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?95.1¢20$1986%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?93.7¢30$2886%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?99¢68$6786%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?90.8¢15$1486%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?85¢20$1786%85Sharp
SELL NoWill Klára Sovová be the next Mayor of Prague?99.9¢53$5386%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?90.8¢19$1786%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?90.8¢18$1686%85Sharp
SELL NoWill Martin Soukup be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?98.6¢50$4986%85Sharp
SELL YesWill Yveta Tomková be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?0.1¢137$0.1486%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?93¢5$4.6586%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?81¢16$1386%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?77¢10$7.7086%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?89¢10$8.9086%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?80¢10$8.0086%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?84¢20$1786%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?91¢10$9.1086%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?84¢100$8486%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?89¢10$8.9086%85Sharp