PnL all-time−$2.33vol $5,949
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 52.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$111cash n/a
Positions14 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.7%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2.33below peak −$21Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
17/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 14
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense? | Yes | 111 | 18¢ | 100¢ | $111 | +$91 | $0 | |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Election certified on January 6? | No | 638 | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | Yes | 475 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | 250 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will Biden finish his term? | No | 230 | 24.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Fact Check: Was there an order to hold fire? | Yes | 205 | 7.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Biden resign before the election? | Yes | 132 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech? | Yes | 84 | 17.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will there be another debate? | Yes | 76 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first? | 50k | 75 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will RFK Jr. drop out before September? | No | 32 | 79¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics | Trump | 14 | 71¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.80 | $0 |
Recent trades
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