sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,764

AuspiciousWolf

0x0e0…2d75
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,885vol $446k
PnL 30d+$5,383gains $7,989 · losses $551
PnL 7d+$3,294win rate 7d 84.4%
Win rate84.4%adj 83.1% · 30d 84.4%
Open value$4,283cash n/a
Positions976 / 4,988open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.4%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,851below peak −$33Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 84.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?Yes35613.6¢98.3¢$350+$301$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?No24674.9¢99.5¢$244+$60$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?Yes24952.7¢54.5¢$136+$4.55$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 9?Yes26846.9¢50.5¢$136+$9.67$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?Yes25645¢50¢$128+$13+$2.32
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8?Yes12747.8¢99.6¢$126+$65$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 9?No15963¢72.5¢$116+$15−$2.84
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?No10870.7¢100¢$108+$31−$11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 8?Yes10714.7¢89.5¢$96+$80$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?No11168.3¢82.5¢$91+$16$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 9?Yes20342.8¢44¢$89+$2.51$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 9?No11087.6¢81¢$89−$7.18$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 9?Yes31427¢27.5¢$86+$1.57+$4.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?No14365.7¢56.5¢$81−$13−$1.99
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9?No10664.4¢72.5¢$77+$8.64$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 8?Yes19745.4¢37.5¢$74−$16$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 9?Yes13733.8¢53.6¢$73+$27$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?No7559.3¢97.5¢$73+$29$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 8?Yes21763.1¢31.5¢$68−$69$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8?Yes7917.8¢82.5¢$65+$51$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 9?No8669.9¢71¢$61+$0.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 9?No7769.3¢78.5¢$61+$7.11−$13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8?No6066.2¢100¢$60+$20$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?No8382.2¢71.5¢$59−$8.83$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 8?No6358.4¢93.5¢$59+$22$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9?Yes12943.9¢45¢$58+$1.37$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 8?No5779.9¢99.1¢$57+$11$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 8?Yes26326.2¢21¢$55−$14$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 9?No6084¢91.5¢$55+$4.48$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?Yes17644.6¢30¢$53−$26$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 9?No5777.3¢81.5¢$47+$2.39$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8?No12157.5¢37.5¢$45−$24−$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 8?No4969¢90.5¢$44+$11−$11
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 9?Yes10944.3¢40¢$44−$4.64$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?Yes6554¢67¢$44+$8.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 9?No5578.3¢79¢$43+$0.35$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?No6574.8¢65.5¢$43−$6.05$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?Yes8547.5¢50¢$42+$2.15$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9?Yes6063.7¢65.5¢$39+$1.07$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 9?Yes9635.3¢40.5¢$39+$5.01$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 9?Yes11531¢32.5¢$37+$1.73$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 9?Yes9836.5¢37.5¢$37+$0.96+$4.55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9?Yes9535¢37¢$35+$1.90+$3.71
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 9?No6345.4¢56¢$35+$6.66$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 9?No5072¢67.5¢$34−$2.26$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9?Yes23618.6¢14¢$33−$11+$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 9?No5260¢61.5¢$32+$0.78$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?No5845.3¢50¢$29+$2.76−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?Yes16026.2¢17.5¢$28−$14$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?Yes6835.6¢38¢$26+$1.63$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9?Yes6846.9¢38¢$26−$6.05$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9?No3386.5¢76.5¢$26−$3.33$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 10?Yes5143.6¢50¢$26+$3.26$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 9?Yes10613.6¢24¢$26+$11$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on October 9?Yes10519.2¢23.5¢$25+$4.47$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9?Yes18027¢13¢$23−$25$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10?Yes6929.8¢32.5¢$22+$1.84$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8?Yes2443.5¢92.3¢$22+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 9?No2967¢71¢$20+$1.15$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 10?Yes10625.3¢19¢$20−$6.64$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 8?No4576¢43.5¢$19−$15$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 9?Yes6126.5¢30.5¢$19+$2.44$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8?Yes35820.3¢5.1¢$18−$55$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?No3156¢54.5¢$17−$0.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 9?Yes2854¢55.5¢$16+$0.42$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10?No2650¢56¢$15+$1.57$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9?Yes5525.4¢25¢$14−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 9?No2060¢69¢$14+$1.78$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 9?Yes7017.2¢18.8¢$13+$1.12$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 9?Yes11520.4¢11.5¢$13−$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 9?Yes66211.2¢2¢$13−$61$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 8?No1080¢100¢$9.99+$2.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 9?Yes2340.2¢43.5¢$9.86+$0.75$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 9?Yes1644.9¢59¢$9.53+$2.28$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 8?Yes1346.4¢70.5¢$9.42+$3.22$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 9?No1557¢60¢$9.00+$0.45$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 8?Yes11821.4¢6.9¢$8.08−$17+$21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 9?Yes2038.1¢38¢$7.47−$0.01$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?No769¢99.9¢$7.24+$2.24−$8.15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 9?No885¢88.5¢$7.16+$0.28$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 9?Yes1730.6¢42.5¢$7.09+$1.99$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 8?Yes2821.7¢25¢$7.06+$0.94$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 9?Yes6016.9¢11.5¢$6.95−$3.25$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 10?No786¢95.5¢$6.82+$0.68$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 9?No1065¢67¢$6.80+$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 9?Yes4621.2¢14.5¢$6.71−$3.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 10?Yes2030.3¢32.5¢$6.42+$0.43$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9?Yes1140¢53.5¢$5.88+$1.49$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 9?Yes2120.5¢25¢$5.32+$0.96$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 10?No588¢96.8¢$4.84+$0.44$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 10?Yes1145¢46¢$4.83+$0.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10?Yes1231¢40.5¢$4.70+$1.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?Yes2020¢23.5¢$4.70+$0.70$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 9?Yes2719.6¢17¢$4.53−$0.68$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 9?No761¢62¢$4.43+$0.07−$4.24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8?No473.5¢100¢$4.27+$1.13−$5.24
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 8?Yes3128.8¢13.5¢$4.25−$4.81+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 8?Yes450¢97.5¢$4.06+$1.98$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 9?Yes751¢53.5¢$3.95+$0.18$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 8?Yes3924¢9.5¢$3.73−$5.70+$13

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?56¢12$6.9384%81Sharp
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 8?99.9¢63$6384%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9?77¢5$3.4784%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 10?33¢62$2184%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 9?44¢54$2484%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 9?85¢21$1884%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?45¢12$5.4684%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 9?41.7¢3$1.1584%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9?37.8¢3$1.2284%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9?36¢11$3.9884%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on October 9?22¢12$2.7384%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 9?16¢13$2.0084%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 9?37.4¢9$3.4884%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 9?85¢8$6.8884%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 9?38.6¢10$4.0084%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 9?47.5¢188$8984%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 9?78.3¢55$4384%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 9?67¢29$1984%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 9?17.1¢42$7.2184%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 9?39.5¢2$0.6184%81Sharp