PnL all-time−$344vol $114k
PnL 30d+$0.54gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$9.96win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.5%adj 47.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$416cash n/a
Positions5 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.7%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$334below peak −$57Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.5% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed+$1,925Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$609Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesopen+$15Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? · Noclosed+$6.61Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$5.19
Worst markets
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$1,925Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$608Biden wins the Popular Vote? · Yesclosed−$271Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yesclosed−$46Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? · Yesclosed−$25
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | No | 354 | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $354 | +$3.89 | −$0.19 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 62 | 40.6¢ | 65.5¢ | $40 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 45 | 56¢ | 48.4¢ | $22 | −$3.37 | $0 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 10 | 31¢ | 3.9¢ | $0.37 | −$2.63 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12 | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.05 |
Recent trades
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