sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

redpanda135

0x0e3…f1a7
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+OtherCryptoPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,155vol $148k
PnL 30d−$2,879gains $1,731 · losses $150
PnL 7d+$896win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate96.2%adj 88.7% · 30d 92.0%
Open value$18.0kcash n/a
Positions24 / 128open / all-time
Max drawdown−91.9%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 19h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,814below peak −$32Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 96.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity8

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? · Noclosed+$840Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$532Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$443Nothing Ever Happens: July · Nothingclosed+$339Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Noclosed+$217

Worst markets

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noopen−$842Nothing Ever Happens: July · Somethingclosed−$187Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Noopen−$156Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$140Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$107

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No5,00093¢97.2¢$4,858+$208$0
US recession by end of 2026?No3,24289.4¢93.5¢$3,031+$134$0
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?No1,82294.5¢94.6¢$1,723+$0.62$0
Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,72893.5¢97¢$1,675+$59$0
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No1,28893.4¢96.2¢$1,239+$37$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No1,28394.9¢95.8¢$1,229+$10$0
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?No85195.3¢98.1¢$835+$24$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?No67591.3¢95.8¢$647+$30$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?No66395.5¢96.5¢$640+$6.36$0
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?No60687.7¢94¢$569+$38$0
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?No34891.8¢92¢$320+$0.75$0
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No31396.4¢93.6¢$293−$8.83$0
Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?No45371.6¢57.5¢$260−$64$0
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?No23089.8¢93¢$214+$7.30$0
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?No20588.4¢91.5¢$188+$6.34$0
StripChain FDV above $500M one day after launch?No12795.9¢98.3¢$125+$3.10$0
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?No9886.1¢90.5¢$89+$4.31$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31?No10685.2¢81.8¢$87−$3.59$0
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?No3193¢87¢$27−$1.86$0
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No2,00040.9¢0¢$0−$818−$24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No60025.1¢0¢$0−$151−$5.64
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes53526.2¢0¢$0−$140$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes1001.5¢0¢$0−$1.50+$1.86
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by August 31?No798¢0¢$0−$7.19−$0.01

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31?85.2¢106$9096%56
SELL NoEthos FDV above $100M one day after launch?83¢34$2896%56
BUY NoEthos FDV above $75M one day after launch?61¢100$6196%56
SELL NoEthos FDV above $50M one day after launch?24¢320$7796%56
BUY NoEthos FDV above $75M one day after launch?67.6¢155$10596%56
SELL NoEthos FDV above $100M one day after launch?79.7¢140$11296%56
BUY NoConcrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?99.2¢200$19896%56
BUY NoConcrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?99.3¢200$19996%56
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?99.9¢500$50096%56
SELL NoWill Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?99.8¢900$89896%56
BUY NoWill Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?80.9¢253$20496%56
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?99.8¢300$29996%56
SELL NoWill Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026?10¢131$1396%56
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?99.8¢4,710$4,70096%56
BUY NoWill Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?96¢230$22196%56
BUY NoWill Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?96.5¢1,105$1,06696%56
BUY NoWill Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?97.1¢1,110$1,07896%56
BUY NoEthos FDV above $75M one day after launch?66¢20$1396%56
BUY NoTread FDV above $80M one day after launch99.6¢750$74796%56
SELL NoTread FDV above $80M one day after launch98.5¢1,200$1,18296%56