PnL all-time+$6.23vol $11.2k
PnL 30d+$5.53gains $0 · losses $3.50
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$620cash n/a
Positions1 / 6open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.2%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3.69below peak −$16Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale11
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable26
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 651 | 96.9¢ | 95.3¢ | $620 | −$11 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | 96.9¢ | 651 | $631 | 50% | 20 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | 4.4¢ | 537 | $24 | 50% | 20 | |||
| BUY No | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | 90.4¢ | 498 | $450 | 50% | 20 | |||
| SELL No | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 77.5¢ | 581 | $450 | 50% | 20 | |||
| BUY No | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 76.7¢ | 581 | $446 | 50% | 20 | |||
| BUY No | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | 62.8¢ | 421 | $264 | 50% | 20 | |||
| SELL No | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 88.8¢ | 274 | $243 | 50% | 20 | |||
| SELL No | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 88.8¢ | 226 | $201 | 50% | 20 | |||
| BUY No | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 88.8¢ | 500 | $444 | 50% | 20 |