PnL all-time+$144vol $13.6k
PnL 30d+$79gains $291 · losses $123
PnL 7d+$65win rate 7d 90.0%
Win rate81.3%adj 69.2% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$366cash n/a
Positions13 / 45open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.5%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 3h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$147below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale31
Adjusted win rateraw 81.3% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$95Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? · Noclosed+$28Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? · Yesclosed+$20Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? · Yesclosed+$19Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026? · Yesclosed+$19
Worst markets
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026? | Yes | 366 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $366 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit? | Yes | 986 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 12, 2026? | No | 254 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | 29 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.97 | −$0.33 | |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | No | 21 | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | No | 17 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.12 | |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | Yes | 14 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.09 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026? | No | 13 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.27 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026? | No | 10 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026? | No | 8 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 13, 2026? | No | 7 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.14 | −$0.04 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Up | 3 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 |
Recent trades
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