sharpside
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mtb84

0x0ef…059b
Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6.24vol $2,862
PnL 30d+$70gains $6.24 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1.27win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 54.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,990cash n/a
Positions10 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.9%of equity peak
Account age33dlast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$75below peak −$9.10Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale11
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 10

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?No49293.5¢98.9¢$487+$27$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No36682¢85.5¢$313+$13$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes28878.1¢80.5¢$232+$7.04$0
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?No23585¢92.1¢$217+$17$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No20088¢91.5¢$183+$7.00$0
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No18694.3¢95.4¢$177+$1.95$0
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No17189¢88.5¢$151−$0.85$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No11193¢93.5¢$104+$0.55$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No10081¢77.5¢$78−$3.50$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No6083¢83¢$50$0$0

Recent trades

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