Traders/Unranked

0x0f0…36ec

1y+PoliticsSportCrypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$93vol $81.4k

PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0

PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate45.9%adj 46.8% · 30d 0.0%

Open value$4,610cash n/a

Positions58 / 143open / all-time

Max drawdown−73.9%of equity peak

Account age1.8ylast trade 1y ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$93below peak −$732Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

23/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 45.9% · shrunk toward 50%17

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity26

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesopen+$208 US recession in 2025? · Noopen+$154 Will Real Madrid win La Liga? · Yesclosed+$114 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Noopen+$112 Liverpool wins the Premier League? · Yesclosed+$94

Worst markets

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yesopen−$370 Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador? · Yesopen−$296 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yesopen−$137 US recession in 2025? · Yesopen−$77 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed−$67

Open positions · 58

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	703	70.4¢	100¢	$703	+$208	$0	ended
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	602	98¢	100¢	$602	+$12	$0	ended
US recession in 2025?	No	600	74.3¢	100¢	$600	+$154	$0	ended
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	500	82.2¢	100¢	$500	+$89	$0	ended
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	400	77¢	100¢	$400	+$92	+$20	ended
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?	Yes	301	99.5¢	100¢	$301	+$1.51	$0	ended
Ethereum all time high by June 30?	No	201	99.5¢	100¢	$201	+$1.00	$0	ended
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	No	200	91.7¢	100¢	$200	+$17	$0	ended
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	200	74¢	100¢	$200	+$52	$0	ended
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?	No	200	88.5¢	100¢	$200	+$23	$0	ended
US military action against Iran before July?	Yes	101	48.3¢	100¢	$101	+$52	$0	ended
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	101	19.8¢	100¢	$101	+$81	$0	ended
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?	Yes	100	99.2¢	100¢	$100	+$0.80	$0	ended
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	100	95.1¢	100¢	$100	+$4.92	$0	ended
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	100	97.3¢	100¢	$100	+$2.71	$0	ended
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	100	65.4¢	100¢	$100	+$35	$0	ended
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?	No	100	99.2¢	100¢	$100	+$0.80	$0	ended
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?	Yes	2,185	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$9.30	$0	ended
Will another team win the Bundesliga?	Yes	1,450	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$5.30	$0	ended
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	840	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$4.20	$0	ended
Will Ja Morant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?	Yes	800	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$2.40	$0	ended
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	Yes	669	1.7¢	0¢	$0	−$11	$0	ended
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	650	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$2.60	$0	ended
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	603	61.4¢	0¢	$0	−$370	$0	ended
Will Ken Paxton be Trump's Attorney General?	Yes	550	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.10	−$1.72	ended
Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?	Yes	550	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.10	$0	ended
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	485	1.2¢	0¢	$0	−$5.70	$0	ended
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	400	34.2¢	0¢	$0	−$137	$0	ended
Will Stephen Curry win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?	Yes	400	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$1.20	$0	ended
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	305	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$1.20	$0	ended
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?	Yes	300	98.6¢	0¢	$0	−$296	$0	ended
US recession in 2025?	Yes	300	25.7¢	0¢	$0	−$77	$0	ended
Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in Assists?	Yes	300	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$1.20	$0	ended
Will Drake Maye win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?	Yes	300	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$1.20	$0	ended
Ethereum all time high by June 30?	Yes	233	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$1.40	$0	ended
Will Ethereum hit $3750 by February 28 2025?	Yes	225	1.6¢	0¢	$0	−$3.60	$0	ended
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?	Yes	211	11.4¢	0¢	$0	−$24	$0	ended
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	206	3.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7.00	$0	ended
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?	Yes	203	15.9¢	0¢	$0	−$32	−$20	ended
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?	Yes	200	8.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	200	24.5¢	0¢	$0	−$49	−$7.00	ended
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	200	14¢	0¢	$0	−$28	$0	ended
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	200	13¢	0¢	$0	−$26	$0	ended
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?	Yes	113	3.1¢	0¢	$0	−$3.50	$0	ended
Will Trump pardon 500-749 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?	Yes	111	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	$0	ended
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	108	2.4¢	0¢	$0	−$2.60	$0	ended
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?	Yes	108	3.7¢	0¢	$0	−$4.00	$0	ended
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	104	5¢	0¢	$0	−$5.20	$0	ended
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?	Yes	101	13.7¢	0¢	$0	−$14	$0	ended
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	100	28.8¢	0¢	$0	−$29	$0	ended
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?	No	100	38¢	0¢	$0	−$38	$0	ended
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	100	29¢	0¢	$0	−$29	$0	ended
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?	Yes	100	21¢	0¢	$0	−$21	$0	ended
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?	Yes	100	39¢	0¢	$0	−$39	$0	ended
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	100	44¢	0¢	$0	−$44	$0	ended
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	100	53¢	0¢	$0	−$53	$0	ended
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	100	32¢	0¢	$0	−$32	$0	ended
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	Yes	100	18¢	0¢	$0	−$18	$0	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	39¢	100	$39	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	1.4¢	114	$1.60	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?	0.5¢	280	$1.40	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	1.4¢	114	$1.60	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	56.7¢	101	$57	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	83¢	100	$83	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	1.4¢	114	$1.60	46%	23
1y ago	BUY No	US recession in 2025?	76¢	100	$76	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	72.1¢	100	$72	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	28.8¢	100	$29	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?	0.5¢	280	$1.40	46%	23
1y ago	BUY No	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	76¢	100	$76	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?	29¢	100	$29	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	81¢	100	$81	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	56.8¢	101	$57	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	69.3¢	100	$70	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	82¢	100	$82	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	68.8¢	100	$69	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?	1¢	120	$1.20	46%	23
1y ago	BUY Yes	Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?	44¢	100	$44	46%	23