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Traders/Rank #1,666

Hans323

0x0f3…1410@Hans323
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+WeatherPoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$93.6kvol $11.1M
PnL 30d−$952gains $16.2k · losses $14.8k
PnL 7d−$1,018win rate 7d 60.7%
Win rate71.9%adj 71.0% · 30d 78.4%
Open value$15.7kcash n/a
Positions30 / 4,033open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.2%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$89.3kbelow peak −$2,336Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 71.9% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 30

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes29.4k8.6¢13.1¢$3,840+$1,319+$11
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes5,37042.6¢49.5¢$2,655+$369$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes12.4k14¢17.8¢$2,200+$460+$223
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No2,00038¢50.5¢$1,010+$250$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes1,44365¢69¢$996+$58$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes87648.4¢62.5¢$547+$124$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes66862¢80.5¢$537+$123+$21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No74058.8¢68.5¢$507+$72$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No77147.9¢62.5¢$482+$112$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes2,21828¢20.5¢$455−$166+$326
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?No48475.4¢88.6¢$429+$64$0
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No54755¢55.5¢$304+$2.94−$1.92
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No47565.9¢61.5¢$292−$21$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No48367¢58.5¢$282−$41−$17
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Yes84836.9¢32¢$271−$42$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes40544¢42.5¢$172−$6.07−$16
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?No20868.5¢70¢$146+$3.14+$102
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,8053.5¢2.5¢$142−$61$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes50019¢15.5¢$77−$17−$38
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No56718¢10.5¢$60−$43−$30
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes5966¢81.5¢$48+$9.12$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No5009¢9.5¢$48+$2.50−$8.11
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes86919¢3.7¢$32−$133$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Yes13836.5¢20.5¢$28−$22+$8.41
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Yes5938¢41.5¢$24+$2.05$0
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes5009.1¢4.1¢$20−$25+$15
Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be less than 20mm?No2095¢99.5¢$20+$0.90$0
Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No1992¢95.5¢$18+$0.67+$0.39
Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?No2083¢90.5¢$18+$1.50$0
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Yes1127¢18.5¢$2.04−$0.94$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?54¢200$10872%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?68.5¢208$14272%78Sharp
SELL NoWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?78¢607$47472%78Sharp
BUY NoUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?48¢431$20772%78Sharp
SELL NoWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?74.9¢170$12772%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?61.6¢744$45872%78Sharp
BUY NoUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?54¢150$8172%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?66¢50$3372%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?66¢375$24872%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?65¢50$3372%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 10?99¢100$9972%78Sharp
BUY NoHasan Piker arrested in 2026?87.2¢25$2272%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?1¢5$0.0572%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?81¢101$8272%78Sharp
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?22¢1,571$34672%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?99.9¢28$2872%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?99.9¢1,568$1,56672%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?99.9¢119$11872%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Marcos Archambault win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?99.9¢430$42972%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?60.4¢210$12772%78Sharp