PnL all-time−$57vol $374k
PnL 30d+$16gains $19 · losses $0.52
PnL 7d+$4.55win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate53.0%adj 52.5% · 30d 61.5%
Open value$12cash n/a
Positions4 / 108open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.1%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$55below peak −$73Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$13Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? · Noclosed+$8.35Liverpool wins the Premier League? · Yesclosed+$4.65Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Noclosed+$4.28Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Noclosed+$3.99
Worst markets
Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? · Yesclosed−$43Grizzlies vs. Bucks · Bucksclosed−$40Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13? · Noclosed−$31Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$3.00Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$1.30
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 6 | 99.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $5.99 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5 | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $5.02 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.12 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s