Traders/Rank #3,287

Elonurmom

0x0f7…6450

1y+Politics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$5,901vol $7.37M

PnL 30d−$14.3kgains $32.3k · losses $1,669

PnL 7d+$665win rate 7d 85.7%

Win rate29.7%adj 30.5% · 30d 64.7%

Open value$4,011cash n/a

Positions1,110 / 1,667open / all-time

Max drawdown−80.2%of equity peak

Account age1.9ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12.0kbelow peak −$5,036Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54

Adjusted win rateraw 29.7% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity20

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yesclosed+$14.3k Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$13.5k Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? · Yesclosed+$12.5k Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? · Yesclosed+$9,695 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yesclosed+$9,314

Worst markets

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? · Noopen−$7,218 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? · Yesopen−$5,682 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yesopen−$3,280 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Noopen−$3,128 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? · Yesopen−$2,683

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	4,289	93.3¢	93.5¢	$4,011	+$11	$0	5d 1h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	20	0.4¢	3.9¢	$0.77	+$0.69	$0	5d 1h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	37.5k	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$224	−$2.86	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	34.3k	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$241	−$3.48	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	29.9k	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$68	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	28.0k	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$365	−$4.53	ended
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	27.4k	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$254	−$2.99	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	25.1k	1.1¢	0¢	$0	−$288	−$4.07	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	23.3k	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$413	−$5.56	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	16.7k	3.6¢	0¢	$0	−$595	−$140	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	16.5k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$231	−$2.12	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	16.3k	1.2¢	0¢	$0	−$200	−$1.92	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	16.2k	2.6¢	0¢	$0	−$427	−$8.08	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	15.6k	4.3¢	0¢	$0	−$675	−$102	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	15.5k	6.3¢	0¢	$0	−$980	−$11	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	4¢	0¢	$0	−$580	−$0.36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	14.7k	32.3¢	0¢	$0	−$4,730	−$952	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	14.6k	1.7¢	0¢	$0	−$251	−$3.11	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	14.5k	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$65	−$2.20	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	14.4k	4.1¢	0¢	$0	−$586	+$93	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	14.2k	4.1¢	0¢	$0	−$584	−$0.04	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	14.2k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$200	−$118	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	14.1k	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$662	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	13.9k	3.2¢	0¢	$0	−$438	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.6k	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$511	−$0.02	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.6k	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$530	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	13.5k	7.6¢	0¢	$0	−$1,029	−$175	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	13.5k	1.2¢	0¢	$0	−$169	−$1.50	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	13.4k	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$169	−$1.49	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.4k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$185	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.4k	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$502	−$0.02	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.4k	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$502	−$0.02	ended
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.4k	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$502	−$0.02	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.4k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.4k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.4k	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$502	−$0.02	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	13.4k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$185	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	12.6k	4.3¢	0¢	$0	−$538	−$0.02	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	12.1k	19.9¢	0¢	$0	−$2,410	−$33	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	12.1k	31.8¢	0¢	$0	−$3,838	+$558	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	12.0k	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$450	−$44	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	11.9k	4.6¢	0¢	$0	−$546	−$14	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	11.5k	1.5¢	0¢	$0	−$167	−$1.44	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	11.1k	5.7¢	0¢	$0	−$638	−$0.02	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	11.0k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$231	−$2.11	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	10.9k	1.7¢	0¢	$0	−$185	−$1.90	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	10.6k	6¢	0¢	$0	−$638	−$0.02	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	10.0k	3¢	0¢	$0	−$300	−$28	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	Yes	10.0k	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	9,964	2.9¢	0¢	$0	−$292	−$0.04	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	9,895	3¢	0¢	$0	−$298	−$3.71	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	9,873	5.9¢	0¢	$0	−$584	−$19	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	9,840	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$276	−$4.31	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	9,794	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$377	−$511	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	9,274	5¢	0¢	$0	−$468	−$12	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$231	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	3.7¢	0¢	$0	−$338	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$231	ended
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$231	ended
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	3.7¢	0¢	$0	−$338	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$231	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$231	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9,162	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	9,075	9¢	0¢	$0	−$817	−$25	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	Yes	9,000	10.8¢	0¢	$0	−$969	+$351	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,998	4.4¢	0¢	$0	−$393	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	8,964	4.1¢	0¢	$0	−$370	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	8,854	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$343	$0	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.9¢	1,115	$11	30%	45
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.1¢	1,115	$1.15	30%	45
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.1¢	1,115	$1.50	30%	45
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2.9¢	1,115	$33	30%	45
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.9¢	4,289	$37	30%	45
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.1¢	672	$0.67	30%	45
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.7¢	3,617	$24	30%	45
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.3¢	4,289	$13	30%	45
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.1¢	1,000	$1.00	30%	45
7h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	89.7¢	1,115	$1,000	30%	45
7h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	94.4¢	2,118	$2,000	30%	45
7h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	92.1¢	2,171	$2,000	30%	45
3d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	0.4¢	1,590	$6.36	30%	45
3d ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	90.8¢	4,408	$4,000	30%	45
3d ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	95¢	2,105	$2,000	30%	45
3d ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	85¢	2,352	$2,000	30%	45
3d ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	79¢	2,533	$2,000	30%	45
4d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1.6¢	620	$10	30%	45
4d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2¢	500	$10	30%	45
4d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1.1¢	913	$10	30%	45