sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,328

perfectnostalgia

0x0ff…8236
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+OtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$148kvol $3.70M
PnL 30d+$8,865gains $19.9k · losses $8,110
PnL 7d+$2,279win rate 7d 31.3%
Win rate52.5%adj 52.4% · 30d 51.3%
Open value$78.3kcash n/a
Positions41 / 831open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.6%of equity peak
Account age2.5ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$157kbelow peak −$602Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 52.5% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes41.6k86.9¢90.5¢$37.7k+$1,488$0
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No13.4k64.6¢87¢$11.6k+$2,993+$2,737
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes5,84253.6¢90¢$5,258+$2,129$0
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes5,35873.1¢98.1¢$5,256+$1,342−$0.40
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No2,51385.2¢96.2¢$2,417+$275$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4,90227.5¢42.1¢$2,061+$714+$432
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes2,24252.7¢66.5¢$1,491+$309$0
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?No1,50372.3¢70.5¢$1,059−$26$0
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes1,49323¢70¢$1,045+$701+$375
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes1,50060¢61.5¢$923+$23$0
ECB rate cut in 2026?No90688¢95.5¢$865+$68$0
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes1,87642.1¢46¢$863+$73$0
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes8,35068.4¢10¢$835−$4,878$0
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?No81494.4¢92.7¢$754−$14$0
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No70567.3¢92.5¢$652+$177+$3,601
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?No78266.1¢75.5¢$590+$73$0
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes117k0.3¢0.5¢$528+$146$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?No1,78558.5¢29.5¢$527−$518$0
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes1,06234.3¢46.5¢$494+$130$0
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Yes1,53834.3¢29¢$446−$82+$24
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Yes1,43330.7¢29.5¢$423−$17$0
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes4,58620.2¢8.1¢$369−$556$0
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes1,50033.9¢24.3¢$364−$145$0
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?No35589.8¢88.5¢$314−$4.73$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes67746.4¢39.5¢$268−$47+$0.81
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes38564¢63.5¢$245−$1.92$0
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Yes1,50029.3¢11.5¢$172−$267$0
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes17788¢93.7¢$165+$9.98$0
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?No14995.9¢97¢$145+$1.68$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No15859¢67¢$106+$13−$0.35
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?No7967¢96.1¢$75+$23$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?Yes3359¢17.5¢$59+$28$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes19.5k0.7¢0.3¢$49−$87$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,5005.1¢3¢$45−$32$0
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes529¢63.5¢$33+$28$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes27220.3¢10.5¢$29−$27$0
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?Yes95019¢3¢$28−$152−$4.00
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Yes9327.9¢26¢$24−$1.76$0
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes1,7251.1¢0.7¢$12−$7.32$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Yes4511.4¢15.5¢$6.99+$1.87$0
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,0000.4¢0.7¢$6.50+$2.50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?67.7¢520$35253%70Sharp
BUY NoWill UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?63¢262$16553%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?86.5¢11.6k$10.0k53%70WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill annual inflation be 3.7% in September?33¢95$3153%70Sharp
BUY NoWill annual inflation be 3.4% in September?95.9¢149$14353%70Sharp
BUY YesWill annual inflation be 3.7% in September?31¢60$1953%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the US add at least 100k jobs in October?27.9¢93$2653%70Sharp
BUY NoWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?85.7¢7,350$6,29653%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?88¢177$15553%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?88.8¢11.4k$10.1k53%70WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?77¢3,896$3,00053%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?64¢357$22953%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?60¢1,500$90053%70Sharp
BUY NoWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in September?94¢38$3553%70Sharp
BUY YesWill annual inflation be 3.7% in September?28.9¢677$19653%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?82.7¢7,314$6,04753%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?84¢50$4253%70Sharp
SELL YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?42.7¢3,131$1,33753%70Sharp
BUY YesBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?85¢1,000$85053%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?0.7¢295$2.0653%70Sharp