PnL all-time+$1.03Mvol $5.01M
PnL 30d+$138kgains $135k · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,199win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate81.0%adj 76.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$282kcash n/a
Positions12 / 129open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.7%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 13d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1.07Mbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
86/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale86
Adjusted win rateraw 81.0% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d56
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 205k | 80¢ | 97.9¢ | $201k | +$36.6k | $0 | |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 58.9k | 89.2¢ | 97.4¢ | $57.4k | +$4,829 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 20.0k | 83¢ | 97.2¢ | $19.4k | +$2,830 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 4,624 | 85¢ | 97.5¢ | $4,506 | +$576 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | Nothing | 165 | 93¢ | 97.7¢ | $161 | +$7.67 | −$24 | |
| Elon Bull Run Combo | No | 5 | 84¢ | 94.1¢ | $4.70 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 89¢ | 46¢ | $4.60 | −$4.30 | $0 | |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | Novak Djokovic | 30.0k | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19.8k | $0 | |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 23.7k | 75.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.9k | −$18 | |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,500 | 42.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | 115 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova | Naomi Osaka | 13 | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.04 | $0 |
Recent trades
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