sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,731

gods-eye

0x108…27d2
PnL 10k+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$12.0kvol $494k
PnL 30d−$3,106gains $785 · losses $1,161
PnL 7d−$528win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate58.1%adj 54.9% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$6,593cash n/a
Positions55 / 86open / all-time
Max drawdown−59.1%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 7d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.1kbelow peak −$7,143Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 58.1% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d76
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity41

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 55

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes14.8k12.6¢9.8¢$1,452−$417+$0.94
Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes20.3k4.3¢3.3¢$660−$209$0
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Yes10.1k11.3¢5¢$507−$639−$2.44
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes9,7005.1¢4.7¢$451−$41$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No2,90017¢14.5¢$421−$73$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes3,45013.7¢10.5¢$362−$111−$184
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes1,34025.2¢26.5¢$355+$17$0
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Yes1,50023¢23¢$345$0$0
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes2,50017.1¢13¢$325−$103$0
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes1,40024¢21.5¢$301−$35$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No25186¢93.5¢$235+$19$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes1,10046.5¢21¢$231−$281$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes1,35024.3¢16.5¢$223−$106$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?No25774¢75.5¢$194+$3.86$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes1,90013.7¢7.7¢$145−$115$0
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes89015.8¢14.5¢$129−$12$0
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Yes90010.9¢12.5¢$113+$15$0
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Yes4,4002.5¢2.5¢$108−$1.95$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes1,0005¢4.9¢$49−$1.00$0
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes25.4k4.1¢0¢$0−$1,049$0
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Yes17.1k3.3¢0¢$0−$562+$4.91
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes10.5k6.6¢0¢$0−$694$0
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes7,0009.7¢0¢$0−$676$0
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes5,7928.5¢0¢$0−$490$0
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Yes5,20011.1¢0¢$0−$576$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes5,2006.7¢0¢$0−$346$0
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?Yes4,9605.8¢0¢$0−$287−$49
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Yes3,3463.9¢0¢$0−$132$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?No3,30029¢0¢$0−$957$0
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No3,1000.1¢0¢$0−$3.10$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes2,90013.2¢0¢$0−$382$0
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Yes2,90014.9¢0¢$0−$432$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?No2,4009¢0¢$0−$216$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No2,40014¢0¢$0−$336−$91
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?Yes2,1843.9¢0¢$0−$85+$1.61
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes2,08318¢0¢$0−$376−$101
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No2,03519.9¢0¢$0−$404$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No1,90057.9¢0¢$0−$1,100−$347
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes1,60021¢0¢$0−$336−$240
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes1,6005.7¢0¢$0−$91$0
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?Yes1,4559¢0¢$0−$131$0
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?Yes1,4008¢0¢$0−$113+$47
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026?Yes90010.1¢0¢$0−$90+$11
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026?Yes8008¢0¢$0−$64$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No80026¢0¢$0−$208$0
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?Yes70010¢0¢$0−$70+$6.00
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?Yes70011¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Yes60037¢0¢$0−$222$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes5002¢0¢$0−$10−$400
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?Yes50010¢0¢$0−$50+$11
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?Yes5009¢0¢$0−$45+$5.45
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes5006¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?Yes40010¢0¢$0−$40+$5.10
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?Yes40010¢0¢$0−$40+$18
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026?Yes30011¢0¢$0−$33+$4.03

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?2.5¢4,400$11058%37
SELL YesWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?9¢1,150$10458%37
BUY YesAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?18¢300$5458%37
BUY YesAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?17¢250$4358%37
BUY YesHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 7?40¢20$8.0058%37
BUY YesPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?58.5¢254$14858%37
BUY YesPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?28.3¢200$5758%37
BUY YesSaudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?24¢1,400$33658%37
BUY YesRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?23¢20$4.6058%37
BUY NoSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?74¢257$19058%37
BUY NoSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?86¢251$21658%37
BUY YesWill the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?11¢800$8858%37
BUY YesWill the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?26¢300$7858%37
SELL YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?9¢200$1858%37
SELL YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?8¢894$7258%37
SELL YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?9¢200$1858%37
SELL YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?7.2¢4,441$32058%37
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?17¢2,900$49358%37
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?9¢2,107$19058%37
BUY YesWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?11.6¢560$6558%37