sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,467

0x10b…40d4

0x10b…40d4
Whale1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,850vol $15.6M
PnL 30d+$3,488gains $743 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$4,553win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate56.3%adj 56.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$78.0kcash n/a
Positions14 / 658open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,098below peak −$655kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 56.3% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo50.0k36¢38.5¢$19.3k+$1,250$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No49.9k42.7¢37.5¢$18.7k−$2,588$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes20.0k84.8¢88.6¢$17.7k+$777$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No100k8¢9.5¢$9,500+$1,500$0
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?No5,05896.1¢98.2¢$4,965+$103$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes50.0k8¢8.5¢$4,250+$250$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,94543¢40.8¢$1,203−$63$0
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,00095¢93¢$930−$20$0
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?No57195¢95.5¢$545+$2.85$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes10.0k35¢3.2¢$315−$3,185$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes2,00059¢11.5¢$230−$950$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes2,00066¢11¢$220−$1,100$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes10,0006.5¢1¢$95−$555$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes1,1928¢5.6¢$66−$29$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢21.4k$7,71356%47
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House8¢50.0k$4,00056%47
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House36¢50.0k$18.0k56%47Whale
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.8¢13.4k$11.3k56%47Whale
BUY NoWill MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?97.9¢343$33656%47
BUY NoWill Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?95¢531$50456%47
BUY NoWill Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?95¢341$32456%47
SELL NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?95.1¢6,240$5,93456%47
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8¢100k$8,00056%47
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.5¢655$55456%47
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?43¢2,945$1,26656%47
SELL NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?69¢27$1856%47
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?87¢10.0k$8,69956%47
SELL YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?13.7¢3,000$41056%47
BUY Baltimore OriolesSpread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)82¢364$29856%47
BUY Texas RangersSpread: Athletics (-2.5)80¢445$35656%47
BUY Atlanta BravesSpread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)82¢1,000$82056%47
BUY Alex MichelsenUS Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen83¢1,000$83056%47
SELL FranceFrance vs. England: Team to Win43.9¢1,600$70256%47
SELL FranceFrance vs. England: Team to Win22¢20.0k$4,40056%47