sharpside
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ShannonTorres7477

0x10b…0451
PoliticsSportCryptoWeatherCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$507vol $136k
PnL 30d+$19gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$24win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.9%adj 53.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$834cash n/a
Positions22 / 200open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$628below peak −$1,968Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.9% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting CamelsCampbell Fighting Camels87486¢50¢$437−$315$0
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Yes35382.2¢49.4¢$174−$116$0
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No17525.9¢91.1¢$160+$114$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No4783¢81.5¢$38−$0.70$0
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1948¢94.5¢$18+$8.84$0
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No440¢100¢$4.00+$2.40+$27
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No280¢80.5¢$1.61+$0.01+$4.45
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No619¢17.8¢$1.06−$0.07−$13
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville AcesEvansville Aces81564¢0¢$0−$522$0
Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?Yes39582¢0¢$0−$324$0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes2390.6¢0¢$0−$1.43$0
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?No8674¢0¢$0−$64+$39
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern JaguarsMississippi Valley State Delta Devils8334¢0¢$0−$28$0
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?Yes592¢0¢$0−$1.18−$1.11
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)Yes381.1¢0¢$0−$0.42−$2.10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes3382¢0¢$0−$27$0
Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Real Oviedo2024¢0¢$0−$4.80$0
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No318¢0¢$0−$0.54−$9.44
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes360¢0¢$0−$1.80+$1.11
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?Yes322¢0¢$0−$0.66+$7.56
Will 1600 to 1649 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?Yes24.1¢0¢$0−$0.08+$1.81
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes231.5¢0¢$0−$0.48+$2.37

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?75¢216$16254%25
SELL NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?74¢14$1054%25
BUY NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?48¢230$11054%25
BUY NoWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?25.9¢175$4554%25
SELL NoIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?92¢119$10954%25
BUY NoIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?84¢119$10054%25
SELL NoWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?21¢16$3.3654%25
SELL NoConsensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?60¢58$3554%25
SELL NoConsensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?60¢498$29954%25
BUY NoConsensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?62¢556$34554%25
SELL NoWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90?60¢263$15854%25
BUY NoWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90?83¢263$21854%25
SELL NoWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?17¢121$2154%25
SELL NoWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?17¢560$9554%25
BUY Campbell Fighting CamelsMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels86¢874$75254%25
BUY NoWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?19¢703$13454%25
BUY Evansville AcesSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces64¢815$52254%25
SELL NoWill Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?58¢363$21154%25
SELL NoWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?71¢505$35954%25
SELL NoWill Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?55¢13$7.1554%25