PnL all-time−$134vol $24.8k
PnL 30d−$828gains $187 · losses $136
PnL 7d−$812win rate 7d 80.8%
Win rate81.0%adj 79.8% · 30d 85.5%
Open value$4.44cash n/a
Positions2 / 584open / all-time
Max drawdown−96.7%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$963below peak −$967Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 81.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity3
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12? · Noclosed+$77Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 6? · Noclosed+$21Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 16? · Yesclosed+$17Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 7? · Noclosed+$17Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 8? · Noclosed+$12
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12? · Noopen−$876Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17? · Yesclosed−$42Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12? · Noclosed−$40Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 8? · Yesclosed−$36Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 11? · Yesclosed−$28
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12? | No | 8,871 | 9.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $4.44 | −$876 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12? | Yes | 326 | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | −$0.30 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s