sharpside
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Traders/Rank #10,694

Ma-sk

0x10f…2ba5
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$101vol $8,283
PnL 30d+$111gains $178 · losses $138
PnL 7d−$37win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate87.9%adj 73.6% · 30d 84.6%
Open value$3,703cash n/a
Positions48 / 81open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.8%of equity peak
Account age55dlast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$155below peak −$108Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.9% · shrunk toward 50%84
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Chipotle give out 5,500–8,999 BOGOs during the 2026 US Open? · Yesclosed+$59Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 4, 2026? · Yesclosed+$29Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4? · Yesclosed+$23Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 35% or more? · Noopen+$18Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 0%-5%? · Noopen+$18

Worst markets

Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? · Noopen−$116Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 15, 2026? · Yesclosed−$59Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Noopen−$50Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026? · Yesclosed−$45Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 13m? · Yesclosed−$31

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes22790.9¢91.5¢$208+$1.35$0
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes21194.9¢91¢$192−$8.23$0
Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?No19589.3¢94.4¢$184+$9.80$0
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes16292.6¢94¢$152+$2.27$0
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?Yes13085.6¢98¢$127+$16$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 35% or more?No12084¢99.4¢$119+$18$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 0%-5%?No12084¢98.9¢$119+$18$0
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No12088¢97.8¢$117+$12$0
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be less than -0.2%?No12282.2¢96.3¢$117+$17$0
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No12089¢97.6¢$117+$10$0
Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes11885.4¢98.9¢$116+$16$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 0%-20%?No11587¢99.7¢$115+$15$0
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No11290¢97.8¢$110+$8.74$0
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No11289.7¢96.8¢$108+$7.88$0
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No11091¢96.6¢$106+$6.16$0
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No11588¢89.5¢$103+$1.73$0
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?Yes10287.7¢96.6¢$98+$9.03$0
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No10189.6¢90.5¢$91+$0.95$0
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?No7090.8¢96.7¢$68+$4.15$0
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No6483¢97¢$62+$8.95$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Yes7085¢85.5¢$60+$0.35$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 35%-45%?No6183¢96.7¢$59+$8.36$0
Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes5985¢97.1¢$57+$7.14$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 15%-20%?No5887¢97.5¢$57+$6.06$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 0%-5%?No5887¢96.3¢$56+$5.39$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 10%-15%?No5887¢95.7¢$55+$5.02$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election?No5591.6¢99.5¢$54+$4.28$0
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?No5690¢95.5¢$53+$3.06$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 50%-55%?No5591¢96.3¢$53+$2.89$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No5591¢96¢$53+$2.75$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 40% or more?No5887¢90.9¢$53+$2.26$0
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No5690.6¢94.2¢$53+$1.98$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?Yes6088¢87.5¢$53−$0.30$0
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? No5591¢94.9¢$52+$2.15$0
Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?No5493.8¢96.3¢$52+$1.35$0
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?No6874¢76.5¢$52+$1.70+$0.03
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No5592¢94¢$52+$1.10$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 30%-35%?No5985¢87.5¢$52+$1.48$0
Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?No5493¢95.9¢$52+$1.56$0
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No5492.8¢95.4¢$51+$1.39$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election?No5493.8¢94.4¢$51+$0.30$0
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?No5689.5¢89.5¢$50−$0.02$0
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?Yes4255¢74.5¢$31+$8.21$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 50% or more?No3089.7¢94.3¢$28+$1.39$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 0%-10%?No2594¢99.4¢$25+$1.35$0
Project Helix release by December 31, 2026?No1393¢76¢$9.88−$2.21$0
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?No15374.9¢0¢$0−$114−$1.43
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No7171¢0¢$0−$50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?76¢58$4488%43
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?74.3¢94$7088%43
SELL YesWill Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?36¢40$1488%43
SELL YesWill Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?30¢5$1.5088%43
BUY YesWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?98¢223$21988%43
BUY YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 7?98¢142$13988%43
SELL YesWill Serbia call its presidential election by October 15, 2026?6¢6$0.3688%43
BUY NoWill the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?90.8¢70$6488%43
BUY YesFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?61¢22$1388%43
BUY YesFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?48.3¢20$9.6688%43
BUY YesFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?87.7¢102$8988%43
BUY YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 4?95¢100$9588%43
BUY YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 4?95¢350$33388%43
SELL YesWill Serbia call its presidential election by October 15, 2026?10¢151$1588%43
BUY YesWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 4, 2026?91.5¢218$20088%43
BUY YesWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 4, 2026?93¢35$3388%43
BUY YesWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 4, 2026?91¢25$2388%43
BUY YesWill Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?94.9¢211$20088%43
BUY YesWill Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?92.6¢162$15088%43
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?85¢70$6088%43