sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Paeniscus.

0x111…3753
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,651vol $221k
PnL 30d+$148gains $0 · losses $277
PnL 7d−$60win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate72.0%adj 67.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$38.2kcash n/a
Positions59 / 136open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.3%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 28d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,189below peak −$148Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 72.0% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d7
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,340Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025? · Noclosed+$1,180US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025? · Noclosed+$1,148Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed+$1,001Another US debt downgrade in 2025? · Noclosed+$740

Worst markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yesopen−$660Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$654Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? · Noclosed−$458Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yesclosed−$231Weed rescheduled in 2025? · Noclosed−$169

Open positions · 59

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?No3,44091.7¢96.5¢$3,317+$162$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat?No2,70092¢95.5¢$2,579+$95$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?No2,43791.4¢98.5¢$2,400+$172$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?No2,14289.7¢98.3¢$2,106+$184$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?No2,39188.5¢87.5¢$2,092−$25$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat?Yes1,50090¢98.4¢$1,476+$126$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-05 House seat?No1,49692¢93.4¢$1,397+$20$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?No1,40092¢97.8¢$1,369+$81$0
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?No1,36990.3¢93.5¢$1,280+$44$0
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?Yes1,26890¢98.1¢$1,243+$102$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes1,49386.3¢81.5¢$1,217−$72$0
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes1,14989.4¢95.8¢$1,100+$73$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-01 House seat?No1,08391¢97.4¢$1,055+$69$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?No1,25687.4¢83.5¢$1,049−$48$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-02 House seat?No1,00095¢98.9¢$989+$39$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?No1,00094¢98.7¢$987+$47$0
Will the Republican Party win the CT-02 House seat?No1,00095¢97.8¢$978+$28$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-02 House seat?No1,00095¢97¢$970+$20$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?Yes97990¢97¢$950+$69$0
Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat?Yes88790¢98¢$869+$71$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?Yes86190¢96.7¢$833+$58$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?No82688¢97.6¢$806+$79$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?Yes84288.4¢87.5¢$737−$7.71$0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No70785¢83.4¢$590−$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-20 House seat?Yes59089.8¢97.3¢$574+$44$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?Yes60790¢94.5¢$574+$27$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No59790¢96¢$573+$36$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?Yes58391¢95.5¢$557+$26$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?Yes53090¢96.8¢$513+$36$0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat?Yes48888.3¢97.9¢$477+$46$0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No42090.7¢97.2¢$408+$27$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat?Yes39189.7¢95.5¢$373+$23$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No48887.8¢62.5¢$305−$123$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?Yes26583.6¢95.6¢$253+$32$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-24 House seat?No23590¢98.5¢$231+$20$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-03 House seat?Yes23190¢97¢$224+$16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?No22784.1¢96.3¢$219+$28$0
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?No34984.9¢58.6¢$205−$92$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?Yes12084¢95¢$114+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?No10387.6¢87.9¢$91+$0.25−$94
Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat?Yes9090¢96.7¢$87+$6.03$0
Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?Yes8881.2¢96.6¢$85+$14$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes5,68333¢0¢$0−$1,876+$1,216
Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Alexander Isak win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will de Goes Rodrygo win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0434¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Sanseitō win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes1052.7¢0¢$0−$2.86$0
Will the Democratic Party for the People win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes1052.7¢0¢$0−$2.86$0
Will the Conservative Party of Japan win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes1052.7¢0¢$0−$2.86$0
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes1052.7¢0¢$0−$2.86$0
Will Reiwa Shinsengumi win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes1052.7¢0¢$0−$2.86$0
Will the Japanese Communist Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes1052.7¢0¢$0−$2.86$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?75¢957$71872%57
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?84.8¢1,233$1,04672%57
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?94¢1,000$94072%57
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the WA-02 House seat?95¢1,000$95072%57
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the MT-02 House seat?95¢1,000$95072%57
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the CT-02 House seat?95¢1,000$95072%57
BUY NoWill Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?90¢180$16272%57
BUY NoWill Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?85¢707$60172%57
BUY NoWill Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?91.2¢240$21972%57
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?79¢726$57472%57
BUY NoUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?91.7¢1,257$1,15372%57
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?91.4¢2,437$2,22872%57
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the MI-05 House seat?92¢1,496$1,37672%57
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?91.7¢3,440$3,15572%57
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat?92¢2,700$2,48472%57
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?92¢1,400$1,28872%57
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?81¢1,304$1,05672%57
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat?90¢1,500$1,35072%57
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?90¢1,812$1,63172%57
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?90¢979$88172%57