sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,982

RabbitRunning

0x111…af00
Whale1y+SportPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$9,530vol $358k
PnL 30d−$2,124gains $999 · losses $41
PnL 7d−$799win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.3%adj 53.1% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$17.4kcash n/a
Positions22 / 264open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 15d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$11.3kbelow peak −$11.5kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.3% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d48
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes17.2k72.6¢61.5¢$10.6k−$1,905$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Yes4,08457.3¢61.5¢$2,512+$174$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes2,18255¢57.5¢$1,255+$55$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes2,04369¢58.5¢$1,195−$214$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,58869.3¢71.5¢$1,135+$35$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes95463.9¢53¢$506−$104$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No8197.4¢98.8¢$80+$1.09+$7.96
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes42953.7¢13¢$56−$174$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1593.5¢95.5¢$15+$0.31−$27
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Yes6272.9¢12¢$7.41−$38$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No3,14831.9¢0¢$0−$1,004−$1,079
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes3,13430.5¢0¢$0−$955−$318
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,3336¢0¢$0−$80+$37
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes82020.3¢0¢$0−$166+$136
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?Yes55618¢0¢$0−$100−$2.46
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes44844.4¢0¢$0−$199$0
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes2936.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
Rockets vs. PelicansRockets25678¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes1799.5¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes10955¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest Madonna during Juno?Yes1493¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?No1194¢0¢$0−$10.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?59¢169$10053%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?73¢1,369$1,00053%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?73.7¢2,035$1,50053%28
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?70¢286$20053%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?71¢5,634$4,00053%28
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?70¢714$50053%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?73.8¢2,710$2,00053%28
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?58¢690$40053%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?70¢429$30053%28
SELL YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?93¢600$55853%28
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?57¢2,632$1,50053%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?73¢5,479$4,00053%28
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?57¢404$23053%28
SELL NoWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?98.1¢300$29453%28
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?57¢190$10853%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?69¢1,159$80053%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?55¢2,182$1,20053%28
SELL YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?93¢1,846$1,71753%28
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?68¢1,000$68053%28
SELL NoWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?98.1¢1,143$1,12153%28