sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,757

russell110320

0x118…051b
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+WeatherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$68.1kvol $2.05M
PnL 30d−$8,425gains $1,752 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$6,708win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate69.2%adj 67.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$50.3kcash n/a
Positions19 / 242open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.9%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$72.8kbelow peak −$9,264Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 69.2% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes73.6k56.5¢61.5¢$45.3k+$3,708−$6.39
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No6,76075¢61.5¢$4,157−$913$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?No67480.1¢96.6¢$651+$111$0
Will September 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?No18587.5¢99.6¢$184+$22$0
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in September 2026?No2289¢96.8¢$21+$1.72$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?Yes5,81726.2¢0¢$0−$1,522−$712
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes2,3736.3¢0¢$0−$150−$81
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany2,00087¢0¢$0−$1,740−$6.79
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands2,00059¢0¢$0−$1,180−$15
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers2,00059¢0¢$0−$1,180$0
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?No2,00084¢0¢$0−$1,680−$8.06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?Down1,00049¢0¢$0−$490$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?Down1,0001.5¢0¢$0−$15$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21?Down1,0007¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?Yes6883.2¢0¢$0−$22−$54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?Yes46165¢0¢$0−$300−$5.01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?Down26724¢0¢$0−$64−$1.95
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?Yes2515¢0¢$0−$12−$0.59
Will global temperature increase by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026?Yes1051.4¢0¢$0−$1.46−$0.07

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?65.9¢6,618$4,36469%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?66¢3,033$2,00269%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?68.8¢103$7169%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?67.4¢480$32469%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?64¢244$15669%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?68.5¢852$58369%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?69.8¢3,555$2,48269%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?69¢1,859$1,28369%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?69¢179$12469%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?69¢227$15769%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?69¢282$19569%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?69¢272$18769%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?67.9¢704$47869%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?74.3¢365$27169%72Sharp
BUY NoWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?75¢6,760$5,07069%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?73¢6,307$4,60469%72Sharp
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?88¢1,000$88069%72Sharp
BUY NoWill global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in September 2026?89¢22$2069%72Sharp
BUY NoWill global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?80.6¢174$14069%72Sharp
BUY DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 14?48¢56$2769%72Sharp