PnL all-time−$5,269vol $2.10M
PnL 30d−$1,075gains $4.42 · losses $576
PnL 7d−$679win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate27.2%adj 29.5% · 30d 20.0%
Open value$238cash n/a
Positions37 / 227open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 5d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$4,618below peak −$5,074Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 27.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d82
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yesclosed+$907Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · Yesclosed+$618Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen+$546Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? · Yesclosed+$291Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary? · Yesclosed+$225
Worst markets
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yesopen−$1,490Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yesclosed−$715Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentinaopen−$435Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yesopen−$418SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? · Yesclosed−$376
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 31.5k | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $158 | +$124 | $0 | |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 12.2k | 1.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $55 | −$89 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | Yes | 1,594 | 3.8¢ | 1.6¢ | $25 | −$36 | $0 |
Recent trades
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