PnL all-time+$9,380vol $544k
PnL 30d+$20gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$25win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate62.2%adj 61.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$6,708cash n/a
Positions11 / 205open / all-time
Max drawdown−54.9%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$9,664below peak −$1,773Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 62.2% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity45
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the government shutdown end November 12? · Noclosed+$4,141Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · Yesclosed+$1,048Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? · Yesclosed+$1,015US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$975Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$933
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$3,099US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,707US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,546Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman? · Yesclosed−$869Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November? · Yesclosed−$699
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 2,000 | 95¢ | 96.8¢ | $1,935 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 1,895 | 95¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,850 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1,855 | 74.4¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,531 | +$151 | −$2.70 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 900 | 89¢ | 94.5¢ | $851 | +$50 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 582 | 85¢ | 90.5¢ | $527 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 14¢ | 4¢ | $8.00 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 150 | 17¢ | 4.5¢ | $6.67 | −$19 | −$12 | |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | 240 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$137 | $0 | |
| Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | No | 100 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | −$24 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | Yes | 95 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$8.58 | |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? | Yes | 95 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 |
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